PHI
@
7:40p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 7:40p
· roof retractable
Park 0.99×
Wind 6 mph cross
78°F
retractable
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09
78°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 75 | 🟡 B | +900 | · | 9 | 0.278 | 92.4 | 11.0% | 37.1% vs RHP | 400 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | · | 16 | 0.218 | 92.2 | 11.6% | 17.6% vs RHP | 392 | 14.8% | 60.0% | 26.7% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 57 | 0.202 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 28.6% vs RHP | 405 | 10.9% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 83 | 0.153 | 92.7 | 11.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 415 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 93 | 0.143 | 89.8 | 7.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 420 | 9.8% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.196 | 89.2 | 5.7% | 8.3% vs RHP | 412 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Christian Yelich | 41 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.140 | 89.2 | 7.3% | 14.3% vs RHP | 402 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
David Hamilton | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 135 | 0.107 | 86.4 | 5.9% | 8.1% vs RHP | 383 | 6.4% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.050 | 87.0 | 4.8% | 4.8% vs RHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 21 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 26 | 0.338 | 93.2 | 8.0% | 43.2% vs RHP | 403 | 27.9% | 25.0% | 32.0% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.246 | 90.2 | 6.2% | 38.7% vs RHP | 403 | 20.6% | 16.7% | 27.4% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.173 | 90.0 | 4.7% | 21.2% vs RHP | 391 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Bohm | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.139 | 90.2 | 3.4% | 16.0% vs RHP | 376 | 11.3% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.154 | 89.9 | 4.6% | 11.4% vs RHP | 392 | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 202 | 0.113 | 89.0 | 3.9% | 14.3% vs RHP | 394 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 22 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.106 | 87.4 | 1.9% | 8.0% vs RHP | 382 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 23 |