2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:40p
MIL
American Family Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

American Family Field

First pitch 7:40p · roof retractable
Park 0.99× Wind 6 mph cross 78°F retractable
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

78°F, wind 6 mph SW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter RHP
1.73 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.40 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 75 🟡 B +900 · 9 0.278 92.4 11.0% 37.1% vs RHP 400 20.0% 33.3% 32.5% 24
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 69 🔵 C+ +950 · 16 0.218 92.2 11.6% 17.6% vs RHP 392 14.8% 60.0% 26.7% 42
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 56 🟠 C · · 57 0.202 90.8 8.5% 28.6% vs RHP 405 10.9% 15.4% 24.0% 37
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 49 ⚪ D · · 83 0.153 92.7 11.4% 20.0% vs RHP 415 4.3% 0.0% 10.1% 22
5 William Contreras William Contreras 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 93 0.143 89.8 7.9% 16.7% vs RHP 420 9.8% 16.7% 10.3% 41
6 Andrew Vaughn Andrew Vaughn 46 ⚪ D · · 97 0.196 89.2 5.7% 8.3% vs RHP 412 9.1% 0.0% 12.4% 37
7 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 41 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 133 0.140 89.2 7.3% 14.3% vs RHP 402 6.1% 0.0% 8.6% 34
8 David Hamilton David Hamilton 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 135 0.107 86.4 5.9% 8.1% vs RHP 383 6.4% 25.0% 12.4% 28
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 215 0.050 87.0 4.8% 4.8% vs RHP 395 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 21
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
0.43 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.38 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 66 🔵 C+ +625 🌧️ COOL 26 0.338 93.2 8.0% 43.2% vs RHP 403 27.9% 25.0% 32.0% 24
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 59 0.246 90.2 6.2% 38.7% vs RHP 403 20.6% 16.7% 27.4% 27
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.173 90.0 4.7% 21.2% vs RHP 391 10.0% 25.0% 18.3% 28
4 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.139 90.2 3.4% 16.0% vs RHP 376 11.3% 25.0% 12.5% 38
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 170 0.154 89.9 4.6% 11.4% vs RHP 392 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 33
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 202 0.113 89.0 3.9% 14.3% vs RHP 394 11.1% 0.0% 7.2% 37
7 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 225 0.106 87.4 1.9% 8.0% vs RHP 382 4.3% 0.0% 6.9% 23
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