MIA
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.84×
Wind 5 mph out
81°F
open
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92
81°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.259 | 90.1 | 9.2% | 26.7% vs RHP | 393 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.180 | 89.8 | 6.8% | 22.2% vs RHP | 380 | 18.4% | 37.5% | 16.7% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 105 | 0.195 | 86.4 | 7.3% | 19.6% vs RHP | 391 | 12.7% | 27.3% | 16.2% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 138 | 0.162 | 90.9 | 7.7% | 11.1% vs RHP | 415 | 11.3% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.109 | 90.2 | 9.2% | 8.3% vs RHP | 383 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 6.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.075 | 85.5 | 4.6% | 9.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.3% | 16.7% | 6.1% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 231 | 0.053 | 83.9 | 2.5% | 12.5% vs RHP | 410 | 4.0% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 235 | 0.053 | 87.2 | 3.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 27 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.163 | 91.4 | 8.5% | 24.0% vs RHP | 391 | 9.3% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Liam Hicks | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 156 | 0.195 | 85.8 | 5.0% | 25.0% vs RHP | 378 | 18.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.171 | 90.7 | 7.0% | 17.2% vs RHP | 390 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.143 | 90.4 | 6.4% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 205 | 0.148 | 87.2 | 5.8% | 5.7% vs RHP | 396 | 7.6% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Joe Mack | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 220 | 0.080 | 90.1 | 5.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 410 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 227 | 0.107 | 87.0 | 3.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 5.3% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 228 | 0.098 | 86.8 | 4.4% | 5.7% vs RHP | 374 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 26 |