Slate · 2026-06-13

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2026-06-13

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Hunter Goodman (R)	88	-16.7	ATH Bullpen Proxy COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.41 FIP4.82 IP606.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	·Nick Kurtz (L) ⁵	86	-19.4	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP624.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
3	·Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	83	-21.2	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP624.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	·James Wood (L) ⁴	82	·	Luis Castillo (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%16.5% Avg EV95.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/90.96 FIP3.66 IP628.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
5	Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	78	·	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.21 IP598.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+81 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.4°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+81 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	Byron Buxton — Home Run OffMatthew Liberatore Exit Velo106.5 mph Angle31.0° Distance420 ft StadiumTarget Field
6	·Matt Olson (L) ³	76	·	Sean Manaea (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP591.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+18 Weather · Citi Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85.7°F Wind3 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: +2
7	Pete Alonso (R) ³	76	·	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2	Pete Alonso — Home Run OffRandy Vásquez Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle26.0° Distance392 ft StadiumCamden Yards
8	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	75	+8.9	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.64 IP614.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · American Family Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp82.7°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
9	·Tyler Soderstrom (L) ⁴	75	·	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP624.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	·Dominic Canzone (L) ²	74	·	Cade Cavalli (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
11	·Colton Cowser (L) ³	73	·	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV86.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2
12	Corbin Carroll (L) ⁴	72	·	Rhett Lowder (RHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CIN Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.1% HR/91.45 FIP5.11 IP609.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+1 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind3 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1	Corbin Carroll — Home Run OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo111.8 mph Angle23.0° Distance433 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park
13	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁵	72	·	Joey Cantillo (LHP) DET @ CLE · Progressive Field	4:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.01 IP647.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.6°F Wind7.4 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
14	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	72	+3.8	Shane Drohan (LHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%14.2% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.6% HR/90.91 FIP3.61 IP603.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-21 Weather · American Family Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp82.7°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph W (in) — modifier: +1
15	·Ben Rice (L) ³	72	·	Kevin Gausman (RHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP3.87 IP612.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	·Luke Raley (L)	71	·	Cade Cavalli (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
17	·Ryan Ward (L) ²	69	·	Sean Burke (RHP) LAD @ CWS · Rate Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	3	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.10 FIP4.39 IP607.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	·Mike Trout (R) ⁴	69	-7.0	Griffin Jax (RHP) TB @ LAA · Angel Stadium	10:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.11 FIP4.13 IP622.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-47 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.9°F Wind6.0 mph S Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-47 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph S (in) — modifier: +1
19	·Samuel Basallo (L) ³	69	·	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2
20	·Juan Soto (L) ⁵	68	·	Martín Pérez (LHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.99 FIP3.83 IP655.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+18 Weather · Citi Field hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85.7°F Wind3 mph NNE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note86°F, wind 3 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: +2
21	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	68	+3.4	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.64 IP614.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-19 Weather · American Family Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp82.7°F Wind9.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note83°F, wind 9 mph W (in) — modifier: +1	Jackson Chourio — Home Run OffJosé Alvarado Exit Velo102.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance410 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field
22	Colt Emerson (L) ³	67	·	Cade Cavalli (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%7.3% Avg EV87.8 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.39 FIP4.78 IP645.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+11 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2	Colt Emerson — Home Run OffCade Cavalli Exit Velo98.6 mph Angle36.0° Distance386 ft StadiumNationals Park
23	·Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	67	·	Matthew Liberatore (LHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.05 FIP4.21 IP598.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+78 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.4°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+78 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +2
24	·Curtis Mead (R) ³	67	·	Luis Castillo (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	4:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/90.96 FIP3.66 IP628.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+15 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.7°F Wind6.0 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2
25	Gavin Sheets (L) ³	66	·	Trey Gibson (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.17 IP624.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+27 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2	Gavin Sheets — Home Run OffAlbert Suárez Exit Velo97.3 mph Angle35.0° Distance355 ft StadiumCamden Yards
26	Zack Gelof (R) ⁴	66	-12.0	Kyle Freeland (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.37 FIP4.77 IP624.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Zack Gelof — Home Run OffKyle Freeland Exit Velo96.5 mph Angle31.0° Distance400 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
27	·Jj Bleday (L) ²	65	·	Michael Soroka (RHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.30 FIP4.55 IP618.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+1 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83.8°F Wind3 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+1 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
28	Jordan Walker (R) ³	65	·	Connor Prielipp (LHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.27 IP639.3000000000001 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+81 Weather · Target Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.4°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+81 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note72°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +2	Jordan Walker — Home Run OffJustin Lawrence Exit Velo116.6 mph Angle24.0° Distance454 ft StadiumTarget Field
29	·Jackson Holliday (L) ²	64	·	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2
30	·Gunnar Henderson (L) ³	64	·	Randy Vásquez (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	4:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.12 FIP4.16 IP617.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp87.8°F Wind6.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 6 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +2

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 231 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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226 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-13

31 HRs

32%

10 caught / 31 HRs

in top 50

#4 Byron Buxton

25.7%

🟢

#8 Pete Alonso

31.6%

🟡

#11 Corbin Carroll

29.8%

🟡

#17 Colt Emerson

35.1%

🟡

#24 Gavin Sheets

19.1%

🔵

#30 Jackson Chourio

25.0%

🔵

#31 Zack Gelof

22.8%

🔵

#32 Jordan Walker

21.6%

🔵

#34 Manny Machado

14.6%

🔵

#39 Shohei Ohtani

21.7%

🔵

Missed

Christian Walker Jackson Merrill Paul Goldschmidt Kazuma Okamoto Ian Happ +16 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-13

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.