PHI
@
7:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof retractable
Park 0.98×
Wind 9 mph in
83°F
retractable
+4
5 mph · out
70°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · out
70°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · out
70°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · out
70°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · out
70°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08
83°F, wind 9 mph W (in) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 75 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.278 | 92.5 | 11.3% | 37.1% vs RHP | 399 | 21.7% | 41.7% | 34.3% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 68 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.218 | 92.2 | 11.4% | 17.6% vs RHP | 392 | 14.3% | 40.0% | 25.0% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Turang | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 62 | 0.202 | 90.8 | 8.8% | 28.6% vs RHP | 405 | 10.8% | 15.4% | 24.1% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 102 | 0.153 | 92.3 | 11.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 415 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 44 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.143 | 89.6 | 7.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 420 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich | 38 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.140 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 14.3% vs RHP | 402 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.107 | 86.4 | 5.9% | 8.1% vs RHP | 383 | 6.2% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 199 | 0.088 | 85.8 | 4.5% | 7.7% vs RHP | 402 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.050 | 87.4 | 5.5% | 4.8% vs RHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 72 | 🟡 B | +650 | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.338 | 93.3 | 14.2% | 45.0% vs LHP | 403 | 27.4% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.246 | 90.2 | 11.1% | 15.0% vs LHP | 403 | 20.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Derek Hill | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.155 | 90.0 | 9.4% | 40.0% vs LHP | 406 | 8.3% | 33.3% | 19.3% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.173 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 10.0% vs LHP | 391 | 9.8% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.154 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 392 | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.139 | 90.1 | 6.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 376 | 11.1% | 25.0% | 13.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.132 | 86.6 | 8.6% | 28.6% vs LHP | 406 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 14.8% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.113 | 88.9 | 7.0% | 4.5% vs LHP | 394 | 10.9% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 35 |