LongDong™ — HOU @ KC

HOU

@ 7:10p

Kauffman Stadium · 12 ranked batters

Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 7:10p · roof open

Park 0.93× Wind 9 mph out 81°F open

-5

4 mph · in

78°F

7:10p

Suppress for HR environment

-5

4 mph · in

78°F

8:10p

Suppress for HR environment

-5

4 mph · in

78°F

9:10p

Suppress for HR environment

-5

4 mph · in

78°F

10:10p

Suppress for HR environment

-5

4 mph · in

78°F

11:10p

Suppress for HR environment

⚪ Boost · Combined 1.21

81°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Noah Cameron LHP

0.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.38 ·

7 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Christian Walker	58	🟠 C	+850	🌧️ COOL	47	0.253	90.5	10.3%	20.0% vs LHP	390	22.4%	16.7%	16.9%	32
2	Isaac Paredes	43	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	119	0.167	87.1	8.0%	0.0% vs LHP	368	10.6%	25.0%	11.1%	32
3	Cam Smith	42	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	128	0.144	89.5	11.2%	16.7% vs LHP	415	10.9%	9.1%	7.5%	29
4	Brice Matthews	37	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	159	0.112	87.9	8.4%	28.6% vs LHP	405	9.4%	20.0%	13.3%	11
5	Jeremy Peña	32	⚪ D	·	·	183	0.132	85.9	6.7%	16.7% vs LHP	423	4.3%	8.3%	6.9%	34
6	Jake Meyers	29	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	193	0.105	85.3	7.6%	11.1% vs LHP	391	7.7%	0.0%	6.3%	28
7	Christian Vazquez	24	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	213	0.128	85.8	4.0%	12.5% vs LHP	373	0.0%	0.0%	6.5%	26

Mike Burrows RHP 💥 Meltdown

1.95 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.05 ·

5 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jac Caglianone	57	🟠 C	+900	🌤️ WARM	49	0.174	93.7	11.8%	19.2% vs RHP	414	10.2%	16.7%	21.8%	30
2	Michael Massey	55	🟠 C	+950	🌧️ COOL	60	0.193	90.8	8.5%	10.9% vs RHP	393	7.9%	27.3%	20.9%	37
3	Carter Jensen	51	🟠 C	+800	🌤️ WARM	76	0.165	90.1	9.3%	17.0% vs RHP	384	12.5%	18.2%	14.6%	33
4	Vinnie Pasquantino	42	⚪ D	·	·	129	0.125	88.6	8.1%	13.3% vs RHP	395	9.4%	7.7%	9.0%	44
5	Lane Thomas ⚡	34	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	172	0.075	86.7	5.4%	6.2% vs RHP	408	9.4%	20.0%	6.6%	22

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Kauffman Stadium

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