CHC
@
10:05p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 10:05p
· roof open
Park 0.92×
Wind 5 mph out
66°F
open
+7
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
12:05a
Boost for HR environment
+7
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
1:05a
Boost for HR environment
+7
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
2:05a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.92
66°F, wind 5 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 59 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 42 | 0.261 | 90.3 | 8.0% | 34.2% vs RHP | 403 | 23.9% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 83 | 0.182 | 91.4 | 6.9% | 17.4% vs RHP | 392 | 14.7% | 33.3% | 24.2% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 45 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.173 | 89.2 | 6.4% | 23.3% vs RHP | 409 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 20.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 41 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.155 | 88.6 | 7.0% | 14.3% vs RHP | 400 | 11.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Moises Ballesteros | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 171 | 0.166 | 89.8 | 6.3% | 21.4% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 4.8% | 16.3% vs RHP | 395 | 7.5% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 186 | 0.133 | 89.3 | 5.5% | 11.1% vs RHP | 398 | 10.6% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.095 | 88.8 | 5.4% | 0.0% vs RHP | 418 | 5.1% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.099 | 85.9 | 2.3% | 4.9% vs RHP | 383 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 47 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 53 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.238 | 89.2 | 9.1% | 23.5% vs RHP | 393 | 18.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 51 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 47 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 95 | 0.200 | 89.1 | 7.9% | 19.6% vs RHP | 385 | 14.1% | 25.0% | 17.4% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 43 | ⚪ D | +425 | · | 127 | 0.180 | 91.9 | 8.1% | 17.1% vs RHP | 401 | 13.0% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🔥 HOT | 148 | 0.159 | 88.3 | 6.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 397 | 6.2% | 23.1% | 13.2% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.135 | 85.2 | 4.3% | 17.6% vs RHP | 393 | 3.8% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 207 | 0.129 | 87.8 | 3.9% | 9.7% vs RHP | 363 | 5.2% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 50 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez ⚡ | 17 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 224 | 0.112 | · | 1.6% | 1.7% vs RHP | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 57 |