4
HRs allowed
6.0%
HR rate (pool)
3.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.51
FIP
3.26
xFIP
-0.75
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.8 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Ben Brown.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
37.0%
85.9
22.6°
1
-0.5
Knuckle Curve Breaking
36.5%
84.3
8.9°
1
-3.5
Sinker Hard
20.5%
81.1
6.8°
0
-2.2
Changeup Offspeed
5.9%
89.2
18.4°
0
-1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups67
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate6.0%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB3.3% 3
HR/9—
FIP2.51 7
xFIP3.26
FIP − xFIP-0.75 11
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 37.0% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle22.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches374
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 36.5% usage
-3.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle8.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches369
Sinker
Hard · 20.5% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.1 mph
Avg launch angle6.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches207
Changeup
Offspeed · 5.9% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.2 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches60
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Ben Brown.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.8 EV · 386 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 8 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-19
7
1
106.8
2026-06-13
7
0
102.9
2026-06-06
8
1
108.6
2026-05-30
9
0
112.0
2026-05-25
9
1
109.1
2026-05-19
9
1
110.4
2026-05-14
9
0
108.6
2026-05-08
9
0
106.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Ben Brown isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.