ATL
@
4:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 4:10p
· roof open
Park 1.01×
Wind 3 mph cross
86°F
open
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
6:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22
86°F, wind 3 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 6 | 0.299 | 93.6 | 11.3% | 21.2% vs LHP | 409 | 25.4% | 33.3% | 34.3% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Mateo | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.182 | 90.4 | 9.8% | 22.2% vs LHP | 399 | 15.4% | 33.3% | 20.0% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.171 | 90.9 | 9.6% | 21.4% vs LHP | 409 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Eli White | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.164 | 87.3 | 7.6% | 11.1% vs LHP | 355 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 6 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 125 | 0.162 | 86.7 | 6.1% | 14.8% vs LHP | 390 | 13.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.144 | 86.5 | 7.3% | 5.0% vs LHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.000 | 84.4 | 4.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Sandy Leon | 11 | ⚪ D | · | · | 231 | 0.000 | 82.1 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 8 |
6 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 20 | 0.253 | 93.1 | 11.3% | 14.3% vs LHP | 401 | 22.6% | 25.0% | 23.6% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Mj Melendez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.187 | 93.9 | 9.4% | 11.8% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Benge | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.131 | 90.0 | 8.5% | 28.6% vs LHP | 401 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.129 | 86.4 | 8.2% | 7.1% vs LHP | 390 | 10.6% | 33.3% | 12.3% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Mark Vientos | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 110 | 0.164 | 89.9 | 8.8% | 11.8% vs LHP | 412 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.104 | 91.3 | 7.8% | 28.6% vs LHP | 381 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 37 |