2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
ATL
@ 4:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 4:10p · roof open
Park 1.01× Wind 3 mph cross 86°F open
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
6:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.22

86°F, wind 3 mph NNE (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea LHP
1.05 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.05 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 76 🟡 B · · 6 0.299 93.6 11.3% 21.2% vs LHP 409 25.4% 33.3% 34.3% 35
2 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.182 90.4 9.8% 22.2% vs LHP 399 15.4% 33.3% 20.0% 13
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 47 ⚪ D · · 94 0.171 90.9 9.6% 21.4% vs LHP 409 9.1% 0.0% 11.0% 26
4 Eli White Eli White 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.164 87.3 7.6% 11.1% vs LHP 355 14.3% 0.0% 11.5% 6
5 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 43 ⚪ D · · 125 0.162 86.7 6.1% 14.8% vs LHP 390 13.4% 8.3% 9.6% 36
6 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.144 86.5 7.3% 5.0% vs LHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 30
7 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 226 0.000 84.4 4.7% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 11
8 Sandy Leon Sandy Leon 11 ⚪ D · · 231 0.000 82.1 · 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 8
Martín Pérez
Martín Pérez LHP
0.95 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 68 🔵 C+ · · 20 0.253 93.1 11.3% 14.3% vs LHP 401 22.6% 25.0% 23.6% 39
2 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 92 0.187 93.9 9.4% 11.8% 379 0.0% 0.0% 15.1% 15
3 Carson Benge Carson Benge 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.131 90.0 8.5% 28.6% vs LHP 401 7.5% 25.0% 16.2% 34
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.129 86.4 8.2% 7.1% vs LHP 390 10.6% 33.3% 12.3% 31
5 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.164 89.9 8.8% 11.8% vs LHP 412 11.1% 0.0% 9.8% 12
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.104 91.3 7.8% 28.6% vs LHP 381 9.1% 16.7% 15.8% 37
🏟️
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