SEA
@
4:05p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 4:05p
· roof open
Park 1.09×
Wind 6 mph in
88°F
open
+6
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
4:05p
Boost for HR environment
+6
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
5:05p
Boost for HR environment
+6
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
6:05p
Boost for HR environment
+6
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+6
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.30
88°F, wind 6 mph WSW (in) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 4 | 0.250 | 95.9 | 16.5% | 34.2% vs RHP | 408 | 29.4% | 33.3% | 34.0% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 24 | 0.240 | 89.2 | 10.9% | 25.0% vs RHP | 398 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.230 | 90.0 | 10.8% | 28.6% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Dylan Crews | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.099 | 91.6 | 10.4% | 14.3% vs RHP | 423 | 23.1% | 28.6% | 12.4% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.164 | 87.9 | 9.2% | 12.9% vs RHP | 403 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Tena | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.136 | 92.2 | 10.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Drew Millas | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.085 | 82.3 | 6.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 6.7% | 33.3% | 15.1% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 229 | 0.025 | 84.8 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 19 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.267 | 93.1 | 11.8% | 29.0% vs RHP | 403 | 15.4% | 50.0% | 29.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 71 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 16 | 0.270 | 90.6 | 11.9% | 40.6% vs RHP | 385 | 20.8% | 20.0% | 27.1% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Colt Emerson | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.292 | 87.8 | 7.3% | 50.0% vs RHP | 367 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 35.1% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.192 | 90.5 | 8.6% | 18.2% vs RHP | 410 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Mitch Garver | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 80 | 0.155 | 89.9 | 7.6% | 20.0% vs RHP | 394 | 10.0% | 33.3% | 17.2% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.109 | 87.6 | 6.6% | 16.2% vs RHP | 390 | 12.0% | 25.0% | 11.2% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 141 | 0.128 | 88.0 | 6.6% | 7.9% vs RHP | 387 | 7.6% | 16.7% | 7.2% | 51 |