MIA
@
4:05p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 4:05p
· roof open
Park 0.85×
Wind 2 mph out
83°F
open
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
6:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
7:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
8:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.94
83°F, wind 2 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.267 | 90.2 | 9.1% | 26.7% vs RHP | 393 | 17.5% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.177 | 89.9 | 6.7% | 22.2% vs RHP | 380 | 17.9% | 37.5% | 16.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.190 | 86.4 | 7.2% | 19.6% vs RHP | 391 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 16.0% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.109 | 91.1 | 9.8% | 8.3% vs RHP | 388 | 22.2% | 40.0% | 10.2% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.158 | 90.8 | 7.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 415 | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 218 | 0.074 | 85.6 | 4.6% | 9.1% vs RHP | 389 | 3.3% | 16.7% | 6.6% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 227 | 0.058 | 84.0 | 2.5% | 12.5% vs RHP | 410 | 3.8% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 230 | 0.052 | 87.4 | 2.8% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 27 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 104 | 0.192 | 85.9 | 6.3% | 25.0% vs RHP | 376 | 19.4% | 20.0% | 13.0% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.170 | 90.6 | 8.2% | 17.2% vs RHP | 390 | 7.0% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Connor Norby | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 166 | 0.144 | 87.0 | 8.2% | 10.7% vs RHP | 396 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.141 | 90.4 | 7.6% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 176 | 0.147 | 87.3 | 6.8% | 5.7% vs RHP | 396 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 205 | 0.098 | 86.7 | 5.3% | 5.7% vs RHP | 374 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 206 | 0.105 | 87.0 | 3.5% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 5.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 24 |