2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA
@ 4:05p
PIT
PNC Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 4:05p · roof open
Park 0.85× Wind 2 mph out 83°F open
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
4:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
5:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
6:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
7:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
9 mph · out
75°F
8:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.94

83°F, wind 2 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar RHP
1.22 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.07 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.267 90.2 9.1% 26.7% vs RHP 393 17.5% 27.3% 24.2% 34
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 103 0.177 89.9 6.7% 22.2% vs RHP 380 17.9% 37.5% 16.7% 24
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.190 86.4 7.2% 19.6% vs RHP 391 12.5% 27.3% 16.0% 39
4 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 44 ⚪ D · · 116 0.109 91.1 9.8% 8.3% vs RHP 388 22.2% 40.0% 10.2% 21
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 37 ⚪ D · · 157 0.158 90.8 7.6% 11.1% vs RHP 415 11.1% 8.3% 7.6% 33
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.074 85.6 4.6% 9.1% vs RHP 389 3.3% 16.7% 6.6% 40
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 227 0.058 84.0 2.5% 12.5% vs RHP 410 3.8% 12.5% 6.5% 32
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.052 87.4 2.8% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 27
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler RHP
1.15 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.23 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 104 0.192 85.9 6.3% 25.0% vs RHP 376 19.4% 20.0% 13.0% 38
2 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.170 90.6 8.2% 17.2% vs RHP 390 7.0% 16.7% 13.3% 30
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 166 0.144 87.0 8.2% 10.7% vs RHP 396 7.0% 0.0% 6.3% 9
4 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.141 90.4 7.6% 10.5% vs RHP 400 6.0% 8.3% 6.2% 44
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 176 0.147 87.3 6.8% 5.7% vs RHP 396 7.5% 0.0% 7.2% 36
6 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 205 0.098 86.7 5.3% 5.7% vs RHP 374 6.0% 0.0% 6.4% 23
7 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 206 0.105 87.0 3.5% 0.0% vs RHP 369 5.1% 12.5% 4.7% 24
🏟️
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