STL
@
2:10p
MIN
Stadium Conditions
Target Field
First pitch 2:10p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 7 mph out
72°F
open
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
5 mph · cross
64°F
6:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
72°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.319 | 90.6 | 13.1% | 22.2% vs LHP | 401 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 25.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 23 | 0.239 | 92.5 | 11.1% | 23.1% vs LHP | 390 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 34.5% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.126 | 88.4 | 10.6% | 14.3% vs LHP | 397 | 17.2% | 33.3% | 12.4% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Brooks Lee | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.176 | 87.6 | 6.7% | 19.1% vs LHP | 371 | 16.1% | 33.3% | 17.8% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan Kreidler | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 105 | 0.194 | 86.5 | 7.6% | 18.8% | 413 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Martin | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.080 | 86.7 | 4.8% | 5.9% vs LHP | 392 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Orlando Arcia | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.073 | 86.9 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.076 | 84.4 | 4.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 367 | 1.8% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Alex Jackson | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.063 | 89.4 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 13 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.264 | 94.3 | 11.0% | 46.2% vs LHP | 405 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 10.3% | 5.3% vs LHP | 406 | 18.5% | 41.7% | 15.2% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Nathan Church | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 146 | 0.146 | 85.9 | 9.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 387 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.156 | 89.6 | 7.7% | 30.8% vs LHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Pedro Pages | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 178 | 0.130 | 86.6 | 7.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 194 | 0.085 | 87.0 | 5.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 379 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
José Fermín | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.115 | 86.0 | 3.6% | 12.5% vs LHP | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 20 |