Slate · 2026-06-14

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2026-06-14

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 7 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Nick Kurtz vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.37 HR/FB 22.5% #2 Hunter Goodman vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 5.09 HR/FB 22.4% #4 Jonah Heim vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.37 HR/FB 22.5% #5 Dominic Canzone vs PJ Poulin FIP 5.5 HR/FB 22.2% #6 Max Muncy vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.37 HR/FB 22.5% #10 Tyler Soderstrom vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.37 HR/FB 22.5% #15 Colt Emerson vs PJ Poulin FIP 5.5 HR/FB 22.2%

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.37 HR/FB 22.5% → #1 Nick Kurtz, #4 Jonah Heim, #6 Max Muncy, #10 Tyler Soderstrom

📦 STACK PJ Poulin FIP 5.5 HR/FB 22.2% → #5 Dominic Canzone, #15 Colt Emerson

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Nick Kurtz (L) ⁶	89	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%16.8% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP628.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
2	·Dominic Canzone (L) ²	84	·	PJ Poulin (LHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟢 A	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.43 FIP4.83 IP655.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91.3°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3
3	Max Muncy (S) ⁵	84	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟢 A	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls47 BBE Barrel%16.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP628.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Max Muncy — Home Run OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle20.0° Distance375 ft StadiumRate Field
4	Hunter Goodman (R) ³	83	·	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟢 A	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.40 FIP4.79 IP615.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Hunter Goodman — Home Run OffLuis Medina Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle25.0° Distance421 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
5	·Byron Buxton (R) ⁴	82	·	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.27 IP606.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+69 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.5°F Wind6.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+69 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0
6	James Wood (L) ³	80	·	Emerson Hancock (RHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟢 A	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%16.3% Avg EV95.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.2% HR/90.98 FIP3.67 IP636.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-29 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91.3°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3	James Wood — Home Run OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park
7	Tyler Soderstrom (L) ⁶	76	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP628.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Tyler Soderstrom — Home Run OffBlas Castaño Exit Velo108.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance462 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
8	·Colt Emerson (L) ³	76	·	PJ Poulin (LHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	6	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV87.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.43 FIP4.83 IP655.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91.3°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3
9	·Luke Raley (L) ²	76	·	PJ Poulin (LHP) SEA @ WSH · Nationals Park	1:35p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%14.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	WSH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.43 FIP4.83 IP655.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-29 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp91.3°F Wind6.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-29 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3
10	·Corbin Carroll (L) ³	75	·	Andrew Abbott (LHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.43 FIP5.10 IP618.8000000000001 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-75 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.8°F Wind5.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-75 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1
11	Ben Rice (L) ⁵	75	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	1:37p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.11 FIP3.89 IP621.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant	Ben Rice — Home Run OffBraydon Fisher Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle32.0° Distance381 ft StadiumRogers Centre
12	·Jonah Heim (S) ²	74	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	6	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV86.4 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP628.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	74	·	Kyle Harrison (LHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.5% HR/90.90 FIP3.55 IP612.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-24 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp64.1°F Wind7 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0
14	·Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	72	·	Gavin Williams (RHP) DET @ CLE · Progressive Field	1:40p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.21 FIP4.02 IP655.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Progressive Field hot air · strong crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82.2°F Wind17.1 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note82°F, wind 17 mph W (cross) — modifier: +2
15	·Pete Alonso (R) ³	72	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV95.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP624.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90.2°F Wind10 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3
16	·Matt Olson (L) ³	72	·	Freddy Peralta (RHP) ATL @ NYM · Citi Field	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP599.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+28 Weather · Citi Field hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp88.4°F Wind9.0 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note88°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4
17	·Nathaniel Lowe (L) ⁴	72	·	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.0×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.29 FIP4.57 IP627.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-75 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.8°F Wind5.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-75 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1
18	·Jordan Walker (R) ⁴	71	·	Taj Bradley (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP647.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+69 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.5°F Wind6.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+69 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0
19	Jj Bleday (L) ³	70	·	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.29 FIP4.57 IP627.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-75 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.8°F Wind5.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-75 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1	Jj Bleday — Home Run OffZac Gallen StadiumGreat American Ball Park
20	·Zack Gelof (R) ⁴	70	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	3:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	11	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.39 FIP4.81 IP628.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
21	·Lars Nootbaar (L)	68	·	Taj Bradley (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	2	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.9% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP647.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+70 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.5°F Wind6.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+70 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0
22	·Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	68	·	Michael McGreevy (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.2×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.27 IP606.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+70 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.5°F Wind6.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+70 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0
23	·Paul Goldschmidt (R) ⁴	67	·	Patrick Corbin (LHP) NYY @ TOR · Rogers Centre	1:37p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV87.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.11 FIP3.89 IP621.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
24	·Colton Cowser (L) ²	66	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV86.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP624.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90.2°F Wind10 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3
25	Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	66	+2.0	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) TEX @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.4×	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.18 FIP4.20 IP624.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+36 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp89.3°F Wind6.0 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note89°F, wind 6 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +2	Willson Contreras — Home Run OffNathan Eovaldi Exit Velo101.5 mph Angle35.0° Distance392 ft StadiumFenway Park
26	·Sal Stewart (R) ⁴	65	·	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	1:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.29 FIP4.57 IP627.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-74 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78.8°F Wind5.0 mph SE Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-74 · Deep red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note79°F, wind 5 mph SE (out) — modifier: +1
27	Alec Burleson (L) ³	64	·	Taj Bradley (RHP) STL @ MIN · Target Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.8×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.7% HR/91.07 FIP4.26 IP647.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+70 Weather · Target Field mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.5°F Wind6.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+70 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0	Alec Burleson — Home Run OffTaj Bradley Exit Velo110.4 mph Angle39.0° Distance397 ft StadiumTarget Field
28	·Gavin Sheets (L) ²	64	·	Trevor Rogers (LHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.05 FIP4.15 IP633.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90.2°F Wind10 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3
29	·Bryce Harper (L) ²	64	·	Kyle Harrison (LHP) PHI @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.5% HR/90.90 FIP3.55 IP612.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-24 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp64.1°F Wind7 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note64°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0
30	·Samuel Basallo (L) ²	64	·	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ BAL · Camden Yards	1:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.3×	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.14 FIP4.19 IP624.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90.2°F Wind10 mph S Charactercross HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Tonight's 236 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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231 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-14

38 HRs

34%

13 caught / 38 HRs

in top 50

#2 Hunter Goodman

41.8%

🟢

#6 Max Muncy

29.9%

🟢

#8 James Wood

34.9%

🟡

#10 Tyler Soderstrom

32.5%

🟡

#11 JJ Bleday

22.2%

🟡

#16 Ben Rice

18.5%

🔵

#23 Alec Burleson

25.0%

🔵

#24 Willson Contreras

30.7%

🔵

#33 Noelvi Marte

19.2%

🔵

#39 Jackson Chourio

20.5%

🔵

#43 Rodolfo Durán

21.2%

🔵

#44 Junior Caminero

14.0%

🔵

#49 Colson Montgomery

30.9%

🟠

Missed

Gabriel Moreno Max Muncy Jeremiah Jackson TJ Rumfield Matt Chapman +20 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-14

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.