2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
HOU
@ 2:10p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 11 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 2:10p · roof open
Park 1.00× Wind 8 mph slight_out 74°F open
-3
4 mph · in
78°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · in
78°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · in
78°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · in
78°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
4 mph · in
78°F
6:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.10

74°F, wind 8 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek RHP
1.05 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.13 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 63 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.259 90.6 9.0% 32.6% vs RHP 390 23.5% 16.7% 24.9% 33
2 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 108 0.129 88.3 7.9% 11.1% vs RHP 410 12.1% 33.3% 14.3% 15
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 112 0.140 89.4 9.6% 15.6% vs RHP 415 10.8% 9.1% 9.6% 28
4 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 169 0.104 85.7 7.0% 13.3% vs RHP 400 11.1% 12.5% 8.8% 28
5 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 33 ⚪ D · · 182 0.129 85.8 5.5% 8.0% vs RHP 423 4.2% 0.0% 8.1% 35
6 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 217 0.069 90.4 5.5% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 4
Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti RHP
0.48 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.84 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 51 🟠 C · · 80 0.169 93.7 9.6% 18.5% vs RHP 414 10.0% 16.7% 13.9% 29
2 Michael Massey Michael Massey 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 85 0.194 90.9 6.8% 10.6% vs RHP 393 7.7% 27.3% 13.5% 38
3 Carter Jensen Carter Jensen 45 ⚪ D · · 116 0.163 90.2 7.5% 17.0% vs RHP 384 12.2% 9.1% 7.8% 33
4 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 170 0.074 87.0 5.0% 11.1% vs RHP 416 12.1% 33.3% 12.6% 23
5 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.087 88.5 6.7% 7.4% vs RHP 377 5.2% 0.0% 5.4% 28
🏟️
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