2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
DET
@ 1:40p
CLE
Progressive Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Progressive Field

First pitch 1:40p · roof open
Park 0.90× Wind 17 mph cross 82°F open
+7
10 mph · out
72°F
1:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · out
72°F
2:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · out
72°F
3:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · out
72°F
4:40p
Boost for HR environment
+7
10 mph · out
72°F
5:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.08

82°F, wind 17 mph W (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.40 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.79 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 14 0.298 90.9 12.4% 30.4% vs RHP 394 21.5% 27.3% 33.8% 38
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 37 0.236 91.0 11.4% 27.3% vs RHP 377 15.4% 30.0% 28.1% 25
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 58 🟠 C · · 52 0.195 90.5 12.6% 21.7% vs RHP 395 16.2% 25.0% 24.5% 25
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.163 91.4 12.4% 14.0% vs RHP 389 10.1% 33.3% 16.6% 31
5 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.201 87.5 9.5% 19.2% vs RHP 388 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 16
6 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 152 0.118 85.3 9.6% 10.7% vs RHP 388 7.4% 20.0% 11.4% 30
7 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.139 86.8 8.3% 11.1% vs RHP 370 8.1% 0.0% 9.0% 26
8 Kevin Mcgonigle Kevin Mcgonigle 34 ⚪ D · · 178 0.126 87.9 9.8% 5.1% vs RHP 407 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 36
9 Colt Keith Colt Keith 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.080 88.6 8.8% 2.7% vs RHP 419 1.7% 10.0% 6.6% 26
Casey Mize
Casey Mize RHP
0.36 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.24 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 43 ⚪ D · · 126 0.191 88.6 8.7% 17.6% vs RHP 379 11.3% 12.5% 11.0% 20
2 Kyle Manzardo Kyle Manzardo 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 133 0.166 89.3 8.8% 20.6% vs RHP 390 10.0% 22.2% 12.6% 23
3 Angel Martinez Angel Martinez 39 ⚪ D · · 153 0.220 87.9 7.2% 29.0% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 15.1% 29
4 Travis Bazzana Travis Bazzana 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.191 88.5 4.7% 16.0% vs RHP 396 11.5% 8.3% 8.1% 34
5 Chase Delauter Chase Delauter 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.171 90.0 6.2% 29.0% vs RHP 376 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 28
6 Daniel Schneemann Daniel Schneemann 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 200 0.131 87.8 6.6% 12.9% vs RHP 400 6.8% 0.0% 5.4% 20
7 Brayan Rocchio Brayan Rocchio 27 ⚪ D · · 213 0.133 86.8 4.5% 12.9% vs RHP 382 6.2% 8.3% 5.4% 33
8 Steven Kwan Steven Kwan 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 235 0.048 83.0 1.8% 2.4% vs RHP 381 1.6% 0.0% 4.5% 33
🏟️
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