PHI
@
2:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 2:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.00×
Wind 7 mph in
64°F
retractable
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
2:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · out
70°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.00
64°F, wind 7 mph NW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 13 | 0.333 | 93.2 | 13.1% | 45.0% vs LHP | 403 | 27.0% | 16.7% | 33.9% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.243 | 90.2 | 10.3% | 15.0% vs LHP | 403 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.170 | 90.1 | 7.7% | 8.3% vs LHP | 391 | 9.7% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Derek Hill | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.155 | 89.9 | 8.6% | 36.4% vs LHP | 406 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 109 | 0.132 | 86.6 | 7.8% | 37.5% vs LHP | 398 | 15.4% | 33.3% | 18.5% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Bryson Stott | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 7.6% | 16.7% vs LHP | 392 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.137 | 90.1 | 5.9% | 20.0% vs LHP | 376 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Trea Turner ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.112 | 88.9 | 6.4% | 4.5% vs LHP | 394 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Rafael Marchan | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.084 | 85.3 | 5.4% | 7.7% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 7 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 36 | 0.212 | 92.3 | 11.8% | 17.1% | 397 | 17.2% | 60.0% | 20.5% | 44 |
| 2 |
|
Gary Sanchez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.252 | 88.3 | 10.1% | 40.0% vs LHP | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.9% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.149 | 92.4 | 11.4% | 13.6% | 418 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
William Contreras | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 146 | 0.145 | 89.6 | 7.8% | 12.5% vs LHP | 420 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.194 | 89.3 | 5.7% | 25.0% vs LHP | 412 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
David Hamilton | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.105 | 86.4 | 5.9% | 6.7% | 383 | 6.1% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.053 | 87.6 | 6.7% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.055 | 87.2 | 5.5% | 0.0% vs LHP | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Blake Perkins | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 227 | 0.042 | 86.0 | 5.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 7 |