STL
@
2:10p
MIN
Stadium Conditions
Target Field
First pitch 2:10p
· roof open
Park 1.02×
Wind 6 mph out
68°F
open
-2
5 mph · cross
64°F
2:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
5 mph · cross
64°F
3:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
5 mph · cross
64°F
4:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
5 mph · cross
64°F
5:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
5 mph · cross
64°F
6:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02
68°F, wind 6 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.335 | 90.5 | 13.9% | 38.0% vs RHP | 402 | 34.5% | 50.0% | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.250 | 92.5 | 11.6% | 19.1% vs RHP | 390 | 13.8% | 27.3% | 28.2% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.145 | 88.6 | 11.5% | 21.1% vs RHP | 392 | 20.0% | 42.9% | 17.9% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Brooks Lee | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.185 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 21.1% vs RHP | 371 | 15.9% | 30.8% | 21.8% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.132 | 89.6 | 10.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 6.2% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Tristan Gray | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 127 | 0.124 | 89.6 | 8.4% | 17.6% vs RHP | 389 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 162 | 0.129 | 86.3 | 7.8% | 10.0% vs RHP | 395 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.075 | 84.5 | 5.6% | 5.6% vs RHP | 369 | 3.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 31 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 18 | 0.263 | 94.5 | 11.8% | 33.3% vs RHP | 408 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 28.5% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Lars Nootbaar ⚡ | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 21 | 0.297 | 94.5 | 13.9% | 20.0% vs RHP | 439 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 28.8% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Alec Burleson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.203 | 91.4 | 10.7% | 23.9% vs RHP | 406 | 18.2% | 41.7% | 25.0% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Torres | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 78 | 0.206 | 84.0 | 7.8% | 28.6% vs RHP | 373 | 9.1% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Nathan Church | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 128 | 0.143 | 85.9 | 9.4% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 141 | 0.153 | 89.8 | 8.6% | 19.2% vs RHP | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.135 | 90.6 | 8.4% | 15.6% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
José Fermín | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.113 | 85.4 | 3.6% | 12.5% vs RHP | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 24 |