2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
ATL
@ 1:40p
NYM
Citi Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 1:40p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 9 mph out 88°F open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
1:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
2:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.39

88°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta RHP
1.17 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.21 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 16 0.305 93.5 9.3% 33.3% vs RHP 409 25.0% 25.0% 34.6% 35
2 Eli White Eli White 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.162 87.8 6.7% 28.6% vs RHP 366 25.0% 33.3% 16.4% 10
3 Austin Riley Austin Riley 44 ⚪ D · · 122 0.173 90.9 7.8% 14.6% vs RHP 409 9.0% 0.0% 8.8% 27
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.153 89.1 6.6% 15.4% vs RHP 390 9.4% 12.5% 10.5% 28
5 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.161 86.9 5.2% 12.8% vs RHP 390 13.2% 8.3% 10.7% 36
6 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 172 0.143 90.7 4.8% 14.3% vs RHP 374 7.3% 0.0% 9.7% 19
7 Mauricio Dubon Mauricio Dubon 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 176 0.141 86.5 5.9% 15.2% vs RHP 393 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 31
8 Sandy Leon Sandy Leon 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.000 81.1 · 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 8
Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder RHP
0.75 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.42 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 62 🔵 C+ · · 35 0.264 93.0 7.8% 29.7% vs RHP 401 22.2% 25.0% 24.1% 40
2 Jared Young Jared Young 51 🟠 C · · 79 0.205 90.7 7.3% 26.7% vs RHP 401 16.7% 14.3% 21.7% 32
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 140 0.192 94.1 6.5% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 12.6% 16
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 147 0.128 86.4 5.6% 15.2% vs RHP 390 10.4% 33.3% 14.0% 30
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 155 0.130 90.1 5.9% 13.2% vs RHP 401 7.4% 25.0% 11.8% 33
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.123 91.1 5.4% 8.7% vs RHP 381 9.0% 16.7% 12.0% 38
7 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 195 0.102 88.7 4.0% 7.7% vs RHP 413 5.3% 14.3% 7.9% 19
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.093 89.2 5.3% 9.1% vs RHP 415 4.6% 0.0% 6.6% 29
🏟️
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