ATL
@
1:40p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 1:40p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 9 mph out
88°F
open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
1:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
2:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
3:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
4:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
5:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.39
88°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.305 | 93.5 | 9.3% | 33.3% vs RHP | 409 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 34.6% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Eli White | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.162 | 87.8 | 6.7% | 28.6% vs RHP | 366 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 16.4% | 10 |
| 3 |
|
Austin Riley | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.173 | 90.9 | 7.8% | 14.6% vs RHP | 409 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.153 | 89.1 | 6.6% | 15.4% vs RHP | 390 | 9.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.161 | 86.9 | 5.2% | 12.8% vs RHP | 390 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.143 | 90.7 | 4.8% | 14.3% vs RHP | 374 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubon | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.141 | 86.5 | 5.9% | 15.2% vs RHP | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Sandy Leon | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.000 | 81.1 | · | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 8 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.264 | 93.0 | 7.8% | 29.7% vs RHP | 401 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 24.1% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 79 | 0.205 | 90.7 | 7.3% | 26.7% vs RHP | 401 | 16.7% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.192 | 94.1 | 6.5% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 147 | 0.128 | 86.4 | 5.6% | 15.2% vs RHP | 390 | 10.4% | 33.3% | 14.0% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Carson Benge | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.130 | 90.1 | 5.9% | 13.2% vs RHP | 401 | 7.4% | 25.0% | 11.8% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 171 | 0.123 | 91.1 | 5.4% | 8.7% vs RHP | 381 | 9.0% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Torrens | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 195 | 0.102 | 88.7 | 4.0% | 7.7% vs RHP | 413 | 5.3% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.093 | 89.2 | 5.3% | 9.1% vs RHP | 415 | 4.6% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 29 |