MIA
@
12:15p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 12:15p
· roof open
Park 0.81×
Wind 3 mph cross
82°F
open
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
12:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
1:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
2:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
3:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
4:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90
82°F, wind 3 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.275 | 90.3 | 10.4% | 27.7% vs RHP | 393 | 17.2% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.174 | 89.9 | 7.6% | 22.2% vs RHP | 380 | 17.5% | 33.3% | 14.2% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Henry Davis | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.163 | 90.8 | 10.1% | 31.2% vs RHP | 397 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 6 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.186 | 86.3 | 8.2% | 18.8% vs RHP | 391 | 12.3% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.155 | 90.9 | 8.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 415 | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.073 | 85.7 | 5.1% | 8.7% vs RHP | 389 | 3.2% | 16.7% | 6.5% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 231 | 0.057 | 83.9 | 2.8% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.050 | 87.4 | 3.2% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.206 | 85.5 | 5.1% | 25.5% vs RHP | 376 | 19.0% | 20.0% | 11.7% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Owen Caissie | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.162 | 91.7 | 8.5% | 21.4% vs RHP | 391 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 177 | 0.165 | 90.6 | 6.7% | 16.1% vs RHP | 390 | 6.8% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Connor Norby | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 199 | 0.144 | 87.1 | 6.7% | 10.3% vs RHP | 396 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Otto Lopez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 202 | 0.138 | 90.5 | 6.2% | 10.5% vs RHP | 400 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.145 | 87.2 | 5.5% | 5.1% vs RHP | 396 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Joe Mack | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.075 | 90.2 | 5.8% | 8.3% vs RHP | 410 | 5.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 228 | 0.096 | 86.7 | 4.3% | 5.7% vs RHP | 374 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 23 |