2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIA
@ 12:15p
PIT
PNC Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 12:15p · roof open
Park 0.81× Wind 3 mph cross 82°F open
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
12:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
1:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
2:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
3:15p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
9 mph · out
75°F
4:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.90

82°F, wind 3 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Max Meyer
Max Meyer RHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.32 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.275 90.3 10.4% 27.7% vs RHP 393 17.2% 27.3% 21.1% 34
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 118 0.174 89.9 7.6% 22.2% vs RHP 380 17.5% 33.3% 14.2% 27
3 Henry Davis Henry Davis 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.163 90.8 10.1% 31.2% vs RHP 397 9.7% 16.7% 12.4% 6
4 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.186 86.3 8.2% 18.8% vs RHP 391 12.3% 18.2% 9.7% 36
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 38 ⚪ D · · 163 0.155 90.9 8.9% 11.1% vs RHP 415 10.9% 8.3% 6.5% 33
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 225 0.073 85.7 5.1% 8.7% vs RHP 389 3.2% 16.7% 6.5% 38
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.057 83.9 2.8% 11.1% vs RHP 410 3.7% 0.0% 5.5% 31
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.050 87.4 3.2% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 23
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.68 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.23 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.206 85.5 5.1% 25.5% vs RHP 376 19.0% 20.0% 11.7% 38
2 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.162 91.7 8.5% 21.4% vs RHP 391 9.1% 11.1% 9.3% 18
3 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.165 90.6 6.7% 16.1% vs RHP 390 6.8% 16.7% 11.0% 29
4 Connor Norby Connor Norby 29 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 199 0.144 87.1 6.7% 10.3% vs RHP 396 6.9% 0.0% 7.1% 11
5 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 29 ⚪ D · · 202 0.138 90.5 6.2% 10.5% vs RHP 400 5.9% 8.3% 6.8% 45
6 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 216 0.145 87.2 5.5% 5.1% vs RHP 396 7.4% 0.0% 5.9% 37
7 Joe Mack Joe Mack 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.075 90.2 5.8% 8.3% vs RHP 410 5.9% 11.1% 5.6% 23
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.096 86.7 4.3% 5.7% vs RHP 374 5.9% 0.0% 5.3% 23
🏟️
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