2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SD
@ 1:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Camden Yards

First pitch 1:35p · roof open
Park 1.19× Wind 10 mph cross 90°F open
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
5:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.55

90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler RHP
1.11 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.40 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 72 🟡 B · · 15 0.210 95.0 10.2% 27.7% vs RHP 398 20.0% 38.5% 32.8% 40
2 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.182 86.1 10.4% 24.1% vs RHP 418 19.4% 36.4% 25.4% 29
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 30 0.216 92.3 10.4% 27.3% vs RHP 400 14.9% 11.1% 18.4% 25
4 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.215 90.2 8.8% 16.7% vs RHP 400 13.9% 11.1% 16.2% 31
5 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.203 89.1 8.6% 17.0% vs RHP 390 19.1% 7.7% 15.4% 40
6 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 82 0.157 89.4 8.1% 21.4% vs RHP 396 10.0% 0.0% 17.0% 5
7 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.113 92.6 7.2% 10.0% vs RHP 393 4.7% 12.5% 9.7% 25
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.097 89.7 6.2% 5.4% vs RHP 386 4.2% 7.7% 9.0% 37
9 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.119 86.9 5.9% 12.0% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 31
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP
1.36 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.00 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 64 🔵 C+ · · 28 0.226 89.1 8.1% 20.4% 394 13.3% 18.2% 25.3% 28
2 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.206 88.9 11.9% 20.0% 387 0.0% 0.0% 21.2% 7
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 58 🟠 C · · 56 0.174 89.7 8.2% 23.1% vs LHP 396 17.5% 16.7% 14.8% 42
4 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 52 🟠 C · · 77 0.130 90.0 8.8% 20.0% vs LHP 405 11.3% 16.7% 10.8% 38
5 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.124 88.2 7.3% 7.1% vs LHP 395 11.5% 0.0% 9.0% 21
🏟️
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