SD
@
1:35p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 1:35p
· roof open
Park 1.19×
Wind 10 mph cross
90°F
open
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
1:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
2:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
3:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
4:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+4
5 mph · cross
73°F
5:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.55
90°F, wind 10 mph S (cross) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 15 | 0.210 | 95.0 | 10.2% | 27.7% vs RHP | 398 | 20.0% | 38.5% | 32.8% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Colton Cowser | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.182 | 86.1 | 10.4% | 24.1% vs RHP | 418 | 19.4% | 36.4% | 25.4% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.216 | 92.3 | 10.4% | 27.3% vs RHP | 400 | 14.9% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.215 | 90.2 | 8.8% | 16.7% vs RHP | 400 | 13.9% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.203 | 89.1 | 8.6% | 17.0% vs RHP | 390 | 19.1% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 82 | 0.157 | 89.4 | 8.1% | 21.4% vs RHP | 396 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.113 | 92.6 | 7.2% | 10.0% vs RHP | 393 | 4.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 156 | 0.097 | 89.7 | 6.2% | 5.4% vs RHP | 386 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 165 | 0.119 | 86.9 | 5.9% | 12.0% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 31 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 28 | 0.226 | 89.1 | 8.1% | 20.4% | 394 | 13.3% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Rodolfo Duran | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.206 | 88.9 | 11.9% | 20.0% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.2% | 7 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 56 | 0.174 | 89.7 | 8.2% | 23.1% vs LHP | 396 | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 77 | 0.130 | 90.0 | 8.8% | 20.0% vs LHP | 405 | 11.3% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.124 | 88.2 | 7.3% | 7.1% vs LHP | 395 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 21 |