SEA
@
1:35p
WSH
Stadium Conditions
Nationals Park
First pitch 1:35p
· roof open
Park 1.04×
Wind 6 mph in
91°F
open
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
1:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
5:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.36
91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 84 | 🟢 A | · | · | 2 | 0.290 | 93.2 | 14.3% | 26.2% | 403 | 15.1% | 40.0% | 33.3% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Colt Emerson | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.319 | 87.3 | 8.6% | 31.2% | 370 | 23.1% | 33.3% | 35.0% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Luke Raley | 76 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 9 | 0.266 | 90.8 | 14.4% | 29.8% | 385 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 20.4% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.189 | 90.3 | 10.4% | 34.8% vs LHP | 410 | 19.2% | 0.0% | 14.9% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.118 | 87.7 | 8.0% | 8.3% vs LHP | 390 | 11.8% | 25.0% | 11.8% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.126 | 88.0 | 8.0% | 16.7% vs LHP | 387 | 7.5% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 51 |
| 7 |
|
Jhonny Pereda | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.095 | 90.1 | 7.0% | 18.2% | 390 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 25 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.257 | 95.6 | 16.3% | 35.9% vs RHP | 408 | 28.8% | 33.3% | 34.9% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.227 | 90.0 | 10.7% | 28.6% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Dylan Crews | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.135 | 91.6 | 10.2% | 20.0% vs RHP | 423 | 21.4% | 28.6% | 13.8% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 87 | 0.199 | 89.6 | 7.8% | 8.6% vs RHP | 372 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 103 | 0.162 | 87.7 | 9.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 403 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.153 | 89.3 | 8.2% | 24.1% vs RHP | 391 | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.084 | 83.4 | 6.1% | 4.2% vs RHP | 364 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 13 | ⚪ D | · | · | 230 | 0.025 | 84.8 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 19 |