2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SEA
@ 1:35p
WSH
Nationals Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Nationals Park

First pitch 1:35p · roof open
Park 1.04× Wind 6 mph in 91°F open
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
1:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
2:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
3:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
4:35p
Boost for HR environment
+5
5 mph · slight_out
73°F
5:35p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.36

91°F, wind 6 mph SW (in) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin LHP
1.38 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 84 🟢 A · · 2 0.290 93.2 14.3% 26.2% 403 15.1% 40.0% 33.3% 34
2 Colt Emerson Colt Emerson 76 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.319 87.3 8.6% 31.2% 370 23.1% 33.3% 35.0% 23
3 Luke Raley Luke Raley 76 🟡 B · ❄ COLD 9 0.266 90.8 14.4% 29.8% 385 20.4% 10.0% 20.4% 28
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.189 90.3 10.4% 34.8% vs LHP 410 19.2% 0.0% 14.9% 41
5 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 91 0.118 87.7 8.0% 8.3% vs LHP 390 11.8% 25.0% 11.8% 43
6 Cole Young Cole Young 47 ⚪ D · · 105 0.126 88.0 8.0% 16.7% vs LHP 387 7.5% 16.7% 9.4% 51
7 Jhonny Pereda Jhonny Pereda 40 ⚪ D · · 150 0.095 90.1 7.0% 18.2% 390 10.0% 0.0% 8.7% 25
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock RHP
1.20 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 80 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 6 0.257 95.6 16.3% 35.9% vs RHP 408 28.8% 33.3% 34.9% 27
2 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.227 90.0 10.7% 28.6% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 21.3% 34
3 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.135 91.6 10.2% 20.0% vs RHP 423 21.4% 28.6% 13.8% 27
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 87 0.199 89.6 7.8% 8.6% vs RHP 372 15.8% 0.0% 12.2% 26
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 47 ⚪ D · · 103 0.162 87.7 9.2% 12.5% vs RHP 403 9.8% 8.3% 10.5% 39
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.153 89.3 8.2% 24.1% vs RHP 391 10.9% 9.1% 10.9% 22
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.084 83.4 6.1% 4.2% vs RHP 364 2.6% 0.0% 7.4% 22
8 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 13 ⚪ D · · 230 0.025 84.8 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 19
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