CHC
@
3:10p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 3:10p
· roof open
Park 0.89×
Wind 9 mph cross
65°F
open
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
65°F, wind 9 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Eldridge | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 38 | 0.245 | 92.9 | 9.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 385 | 23.1% | 33.3% | 23.7% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.234 | 89.1 | 9.1% | 16.7% vs LHP | 393 | 18.5% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 50 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 84 | 0.198 | 89.1 | 7.8% | 10.0% vs LHP | 385 | 13.8% | 25.0% | 19.8% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Rafael Devers | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.177 | 92.0 | 8.0% | 11.1% vs LHP | 401 | 12.7% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 138 | 0.158 | 88.2 | 6.7% | 22.2% vs LHP | 397 | 6.1% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Gilbert ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 207 | 0.132 | 85.2 | 4.3% | 8.6% | 393 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 210 | 0.127 | 87.8 | 3.9% | 8.3% vs LHP | 363 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 50 |
| 8 |
|
Daniel Susac | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.079 | 86.6 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.257 | 90.4 | 9.6% | 32.5% vs RHP | 403 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 27.3% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Michael Conforto | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.254 | 94.0 | 9.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 405 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 9 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.183 | 91.4 | 8.4% | 18.0% vs RHP | 391 | 15.9% | 33.3% | 17.4% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 144 | 0.165 | 88.7 | 8.5% | 13.7% vs RHP | 400 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Alex Bregman | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 184 | 0.143 | 88.2 | 5.6% | 17.4% vs RHP | 395 | 7.4% | 16.7% | 8.3% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Moises Ballesteros | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 187 | 0.162 | 89.8 | 7.5% | 21.4% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.131 | 89.2 | 6.4% | 10.8% vs RHP | 398 | 10.4% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 214 | 0.093 | 88.8 | 6.4% | 0.0% vs RHP | 418 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 23 |