2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CHC
@ 3:10p
SF
Oracle Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 3:10p · roof open
Park 0.89× Wind 9 mph cross 65°F open
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
3:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
4:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
5:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89

65°F, wind 9 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Ryan Rolison
Ryan Rolison LHP
1.17 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.47 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 62 🔵 C+ · · 38 0.245 92.9 9.3% 16.7% vs LHP 385 23.1% 33.3% 23.7% 39
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.234 89.1 9.1% 16.7% vs LHP 393 18.5% 15.4% 18.5% 50
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 50 🟠 C · · 84 0.198 89.1 7.8% 10.0% vs LHP 385 13.8% 25.0% 19.8% 32
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 45 ⚪ D · · 117 0.177 92.0 8.0% 11.1% vs LHP 401 12.7% 15.4% 11.2% 34
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 138 0.158 88.2 6.7% 22.2% vs LHP 397 6.1% 23.1% 18.6% 38
6 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 207 0.132 85.2 4.3% 8.6% 393 3.7% 0.0% 6.7% 21
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 28 ⚪ D · · 210 0.127 87.8 3.9% 8.3% vs LHP 363 5.1% 0.0% 6.7% 50
8 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 223 0.079 86.6 5.5% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 23
Logan Webb
Logan Webb RHP
0.54 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.03 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.257 90.4 9.6% 32.5% vs RHP 403 25.0% 25.0% 27.3% 27
2 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.254 94.0 9.5% 16.7% vs RHP 405 4.5% 0.0% 13.6% 9
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.183 91.4 8.4% 18.0% vs RHP 391 15.9% 33.3% 17.4% 39
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 41 ⚪ D · · 144 0.165 88.7 8.5% 13.7% vs RHP 400 11.4% 16.7% 12.3% 29
5 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 33 ⚪ D · · 184 0.143 88.2 5.6% 17.4% vs RHP 395 7.4% 16.7% 8.3% 38
6 Moises Ballesteros Moises Ballesteros 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 187 0.162 89.8 7.5% 21.4% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 16
7 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 194 0.131 89.2 6.4% 10.8% vs RHP 398 10.4% 0.0% 6.5% 19
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 27 ⚪ D · · 214 0.093 88.8 6.4% 0.0% vs RHP 418 5.0% 11.1% 5.3% 23
🏟️
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