2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Ryan Rolison
Ryan Rolison LHP CHC
8 matchups scored · 1 game days
1 HRs Allowed
12.5% HR Rate (Pool)
22.0% Overall HR/FB
4.32 FIP
3.85 xFIP
+0.47 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
22.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
92th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
50.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.32
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
61th pctile
3.85
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.47
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
72th pctile
12.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 92.5mph 106.8mph 20.0° 405ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 15 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 92.5mph 106.8mph 20.0° 405ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 8 1 1 12.5% 1.0 92.5mph 106.8mph 20.0° 405ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
8 tracked BBE from 8 pool matchups
92.5
106.8
4
0
106.8
20.0°
405
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-14 Matt Chapman 106.8mph 106.8mph 20° 405ft Yes
2026-06-14 Drew Gilbert 101.5mph · · · ·
2026-06-14 Rafael Devers 100.7mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
1 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-14 Matt Chapman #98 48 Oracle Park 106.8mph 20.0° 405ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 176 44.4% -1.8 82.8 20.0° 2
Slider 79 19.9% -1.4 80.4 18.5° 0
Curveball 72 18.2% -0.5 83.4 -0.4° 1
Sweeper 49 12.4% +1.3 82.6 26.9° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
50.0%
50.0%
All Scored Matchups
8 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-14 Daniel Susac #229 14 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-14 Jung Hoo Lee #213 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Drew Gilbert #201 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-14 Rafael Devers #136 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Willy Adames #101 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 Matt Chapman #98 48 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 💥
2026-06-14 Casey Schmitt #88 49 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-14 Bryce Eldridge #47 59 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
Six home runs to freedom

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