Ryan Rolison
LHP
CHC
1
HRs Allowed
12.5%
HR Rate (Pool)
22.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.32
FIP
3.85
xFIP
+0.47
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
22.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
92th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
50.0%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.32
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
61th pctile
3.85
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.47
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
72th pctile
12.5%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
8
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
12.5%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 92.5mph | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 405ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 92.5mph | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 405ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12.5% | 1.0 | 92.5mph | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 405ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
92.5
Avg Max EV
106.8
Max EV Allowed
4
Hard-Hit Proxy · 50.0%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.8
Avg HR EV
20.0°
Avg HR Launch
405
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Matt Chapman | 106.8mph | 106.8mph | 20° | 405ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | Drew Gilbert | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Rafael Devers | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Matt Chapman | #98 | 48 | Oracle Park | 106.8mph | 20.0° | 405ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 176 | 44.4% | -1.8 | 82.8 | 20.0° | 2 |
| Slider | 79 | 19.9% | -1.4 | 80.4 | 18.5° | 0 |
| Curveball | 72 | 18.2% | -0.5 | 83.4 | -0.4° | 1 |
| Sweeper | 49 | 12.4% | +1.3 | 82.6 | 26.9° | 0 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
50.0%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Daniel Susac | #229 | 14 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Jung Hoo Lee | #213 | 25 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Drew Gilbert | #201 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Rafael Devers | #136 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Willy Adames | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Matt Chapman | #98 | 48 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-14 | Casey Schmitt | #88 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-14 | Bryce Eldridge | #47 | 59 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |