2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATH RHB
Brent Rooker

Brent Rooker

RHB
ATH · 50 appearances tracked
9
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
18.0%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
21.5%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.2
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.171
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#6
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.203
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
79th pctile
89.9
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
62th pctile
15.4%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
99th pctile
19.6%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
84th pctile
390
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
40th pctile
18.4%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
30.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
26.0%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
97th pctile
24
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 4 games · 9 HRs in 50 games
Due (1×)
0.8×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
4
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
50
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
34
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
5
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
56%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#51.8
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
5 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-05 #18 Lance McCullers Jr. Sutter Health Park · · · 104.8 mph 364.0 ft
2026-05-09 #50 Shane Baz Camden Yards · · · 98.6 mph 365.0 ft
2026-05-16 #30 Trevor McDonald Sutter Health Park · · · 109.5 mph 407.0 ft
2026-05-19 #36 Reid Detmers Angel Stadium · · · 110.0 mph 406.0 ft
2026-06-07 #28 Mike Burrows Minute Maid Park · · · 103.2 mph 397 ft
All Appearances
50 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-12 #6 COL Bullpen Proxy R/ 26.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #8 Brandon Sproat R/R * 30.2% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-08 #25 Kyle Harrison · 22.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-07 #28 Mike Burrows · 22.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-06 #31 Tatsuya Imai · 23.2% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #77 Peter Lambert · 12.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #82 Colin Rea · 12.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-06-02 #47 Jameson Taillon · 22.4% 🔵 C+ ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-31 #116 Will Warren · 13.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-05-30 #44 Ryan Weathers · 21.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-29 #56 Carlos Rodón · 14.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #45 Emerson Hancock · 19.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-25 #27 Luis Castillo · 21.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #61 Walker Buehler · 23.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-21 #13 José Soriano · 17.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #30 Jack Kochanowicz · 25.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-19 #36 Reid Detmers · 14.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-18 #33 Walbert Ureña · 22.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-17 #20 Adrian Houser · 29.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-16 #30 Trevor McDonald · 18.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-15 #20 Tyler Mahle · 44.0% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-14 #18 Michael McGreevy · 33.4% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-13 #85 Matthew Liberatore · 13.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #100 Andre Pallante · 19.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #43 Chris Bassitt · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #50 Shane Baz · 22.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-08 #45 Kyle Bradish · 22.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-07 #128 Andrew Painter · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-06 #157 Zack Wheeler · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-03 #111 Parker Messick · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-02 #98 Slade Cecconi · 17.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-05-01 #99 Joey Cantillo · 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · 💥
2026-04-26 #161 Kumar Rocker · 9.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-21 #31 Luis Castillo · 11.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-20 #50 Emerson Hancock · 10.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-19 #13 Noah Schultz · 19.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #13 Erick Fedde · 18.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #12 Davis Martin · 19.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-14 #7 MacKenzie Gore · 33.6% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-11 #39 Kodai Senga · 17.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #8 Ryan Weathers · 27.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-08 #7 Will Warren · 26.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-07 #9 Cam Schlittler · 25.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-05 #18 Lance McCullers Jr. · 18.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-01 #100 Chris Sale · 12.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-31 #159 José Suarez · 9.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-30 #38 Bryce Elder · 16.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-29 #82 Eric Lauer · 13.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-03-28 #49 Dylan Cease · 14.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-27 #23 Kevin Gausman · 14.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

Brent Rooker's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

50 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.3.16 · build 501

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.