SEA
@
7:05p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.13×
Wind 7 mph out
94°F
open
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
7:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
8:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
9:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
10:05p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
11:05p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.70
94°F, wind 7 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +5. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 78 | 🟡 B | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.264 | 90.2 | 13.1% | 40.6% vs RHP | 384 | 19.6% | 22.2% | 34.0% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.261 | 93.1 | 12.3% | 30.0% vs RHP | 404 | 12.0% | 33.3% | 33.6% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Colt Emerson | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 10 | 0.306 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 50.0% vs RHP | 357 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 39.5% | 18 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.196 | 90.4 | 9.3% | 18.2% vs RHP | 410 | 20.4% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 53 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.169 | 91.6 | 8.5% | 17.9% vs RHP | 385 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.113 | 87.7 | 6.9% | 16.2% vs RHP | 391 | 10.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.121 | 87.6 | 6.9% | 7.9% vs RHP | 393 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 46 |
| 8 |
|
Jhonny Pereda | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.109 | 90.7 | 6.5% | 16.7% vs RHP | 390 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 22 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +900 | · | 21 | 0.195 | 95.0 | 9.1% | 22.7% vs RHP | 396 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 22.2% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.187 | 91.8 | 8.6% | 13.0% vs RHP | 407 | 16.4% | 44.4% | 18.8% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 58 | 🟠 C | +1000 | · | 26 | 0.173 | 85.9 | 9.3% | 24.0% vs RHP | 418 | 17.9% | 37.5% | 21.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Adley Rutschman | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 29 | 0.215 | 90.4 | 8.2% | 17.9% vs RHP | 400 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 55 | 🟠 C | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.210 | 92.1 | 9.2% | 27.6% vs RHP | 401 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.199 | 89.1 | 7.8% | 15.9% vs RHP | 390 | 18.5% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 50 | 🟠 C | +900 | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.164 | 88.8 | 10.2% | 18.2% vs RHP | 378 | 4.0% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.100 | 89.6 | 5.8% | 5.7% vs RHP | 386 | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Leody Taveras | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 103 | 0.118 | 86.8 | 5.5% | 13.6% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 34 |