2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAD
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.86× Wind 10 mph slight_out 88°F open
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.12

88°F, wind 10 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller RHP
0.59 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.56 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Max Muncy Max Muncy 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 32 0.247 91.0 10.5% 28.3% vs RHP 408 17.6% 15.4% 17.1% 35
2 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 53 🟠 C +650 · 37 0.219 93.4 10.1% 18.4% vs RHP 402 14.1% 25.0% 20.0% 34
3 Dalton Rushing Dalton Rushing 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 39 0.262 88.3 8.1% 41.2% vs RHP 396 11.1% 25.0% 16.6% 22
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 53 0.236 89.7 8.1% 27.5% vs RHP 390 18.8% 18.2% 12.2% 41
5 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.193 91.0 8.8% 18.6% vs RHP 395 12.7% 25.0% 15.5% 41
6 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.166 90.0 7.6% 15.4% vs RHP 388 4.0% 0.0% 7.5% 37
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 30 ⚪ D · · 107 0.140 89.0 5.9% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.7% 8.3% 6.7% 30
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 30 ⚪ D · · 108 0.125 89.1 7.0% 12.5% vs RHP 373 4.4% 8.3% 6.6% 21
Justin Wrobleski
Justin Wrobleski LHP
0.50 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.00 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 42 0.260 90.0 9.3% 27.3% vs LHP 393 14.5% 9.1% 15.4% 29
2 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.184 86.3 7.6% 13.2% 391 13.0% 27.3% 15.1% 39
3 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 83 0.164 90.8 8.0% 23.1% vs LHP 415 11.5% 25.0% 12.8% 32
4 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 115 0.102 89.6 7.6% 20.0% vs LHP 408 7.1% 0.0% 5.9% 9
5 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.077 85.6 4.8% 0.0% vs LHP 389 3.4% 16.7% 4.6% 37
6 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 15 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.047 84.0 2.7% 5.6% 410 4.2% 16.7% 4.8% 31
7 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 12 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 127 0.046 87.0 3.1% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 27
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