2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DET LHB
Riley Greene

Riley Greene

LHB
DET · 77 appearances tracked
8
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
10.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.8%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.173
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#13
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.158
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
50th pctile
91.3
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
82th pctile
12.3%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
92th pctile
10.5% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
38th pctile
394
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
53th pctile
9.1%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
25.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
15.6%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
79th pctile
33
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 8 HRs in 77 games
Due (1×)
0.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
0
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
77
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
21
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
38%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#87.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-23 #28 Brandon Sproat Comerica Park · · · 107.7 mph 406.0 ft
2026-04-24 #25 Andrew Abbott Great American Ball Park · · · 103.9 mph 405.0 ft
2026-06-11 #30 Cody Laweryson Comerica Park L/R 98.6 mph 356 ft
All Appearances
77 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-22 #100 Gerrit Cole L/R * 13.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-21 #129 Davis Martin L/R * 13.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #115 Sean Newcomb L/L * 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-19 #64 Brandon Eisert L/L * 17.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-17 #79 Peter Lambert L/R * 9.8% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-16 #68 Hunter Brown L/R * 12.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-15 #47 Kai-Wei Teng L/R * 18.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-06-14 #66 Gavin Williams L/R * 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-13 #52 Joey Cantillo L/L * 16.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #54 Tanner Bibee L/R * 16.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #30 Zebby Matthews L/R * 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-10 #51 Mike Paredes L/R * 14.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-09 #134 Taj Bradley L/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-07 #139 Luis Castillo · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-06 #195 Bryce Miller · 8.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-05 #185 Bryan Woo · 9.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-03 #105 Nick Martinez · 10.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #92 Steven Matz · 9.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-01 #90 Griffin Jax · 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #169 Sean Burke · 7.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #135 Anthony Kay · 8.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #89 Erick Fedde · 7.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-28 #42 Grayson Rodriguez · 7.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-27 #193 José Soriano · 7.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-26 #157 Jack Kochanowicz · 6.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #99 Trevor Rogers · 10.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-24 #76 Brandon Young · 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-22 #63 Chris Bassitt · 10.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #43 Joey Cantillo · 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-20 #89 Tanner Bibee · 9.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-19 #101 Parker Messick · 8.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-18 #95 Slade Cecconi · 8.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-17 #135 Kevin Gausman · 7.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-16 #96 Mason Fluharty · 8.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-15 #119 Trey Yesavage · 7.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-14 #85 Nolan McLean · 6.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #69 Christian Scott · 9.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-12 #95 Freddy Peralta · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-10 #54 Noah Cameron · 17.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-09 #56 Michael Wacha · 10.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #44 Kris Bubic · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-06 #152 Sonny Gray · 15.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #98 Jovani Morán · 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-04 #160 Payton Tolle · 16.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-03 #168 Jack Leiter · 19.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-02 #207 Kumar Rocker · 16.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #185 MacKenzie Gore · 20.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #56 Bryce Elder · 16.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-28 #20 Martín Pérez · 15.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #21 Rhett Lowder · 12.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-25 #22 Brady Singer · 23.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-24 #25 Andrew Abbott · 23.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-23 #28 Brandon Sproat · 19.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-22 #101 Chad Patrick · 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-21 #74 Kyle Harrison · 6.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-20 #97 Sonny Gray · 6.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-19 #161 Garrett Crochet · 6.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-18 #156 Brayan Bello · 6.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-17 #131 Ranger Suarez · 6.5% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-16 #79 Kris Bubic · 6.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-15 #101 Seth Lugo · 2.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-14 #17 Cole Ragans · 27.2% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-12 #115 Sandy Alcantara · 2.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-11 #76 Janson Junk · 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-10 #48 Chris Paddack · 17.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #13 Mick Abel · 20.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #38 Bailey Ober · 17.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-07 #41 Taj Bradley · 16.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-06 #32 Joe Ryan · 17.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-05 #127 Kyle Leahy · 10.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-04 #25 Dustin May · 16.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-04-01 #19 Zac Gallen · 16.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-31 #46 Brandon Pfaadt · 15.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-30 #62 Michael Soroka · 14.9% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-28 #96 Randy Vásquez · 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-03-27 #13 Michael King · 16.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-26 #38 Nick Pivetta · 14.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
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