2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CHC
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 8:40p · roof open
Park 1.16× Wind 8 mph out 87°F open
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.63

87°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga LHP
1.90 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.88 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 85 🟢 A +290 🌤️ WARM 2 0.276 91.2 13.5% 33.3% vs LHP 402 26.8% 54.5% 39.6% 30
2 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 53 🟠 C +575 🌤️ WARM 62 0.132 88.0 9.9% 0.0% vs LHP 422 6.8% 18.2% 13.4% 26
3 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.164 84.8 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 33
4 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 48 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 85 0.117 89.4 8.6% 8.3% vs LHP 408 6.1% 10.0% 9.3% 25
5 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 48 ⚪ D +700 ❄ COLD 89 0.155 85.2 9.0% 0.0% vs LHP 412 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 28
6 Willi Castro Willi Castro 44 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 112 0.098 88.9 7.8% 0.0% vs LHP 415 4.3% 10.0% 7.9% 31
7 Chad Stevens Chad Stevens 32 ⚪ D +600 ❄ COLD 181 0.000 81.8 8.8% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 7
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.76 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.07 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 82 🟢 A +350 🌤️ WARM 3 0.259 90.6 12.5% 33.3% vs RHP 402 23.4% 33.3% 45.2% 32
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 69 🔵 C+ +330 🔥 HOT 16 0.179 91.9 10.8% 18.6% vs RHP 392 15.4% 33.3% 28.3% 35
3 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 59 🟠 C +420 🌤️ WARM 41 0.169 89.0 9.2% 24.1% vs RHP 410 11.1% 18.2% 15.9% 34
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 57 🟠 C +370 🌧️ COOL 54 0.150 88.4 10.7% 12.5% vs RHP 402 10.6% 8.3% 12.9% 29
5 Moises Ballesteros Moises Ballesteros 55 🟠 C +500 ❄ COLD 59 0.175 90.7 9.9% 22.2% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 15
6 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 50 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 82 0.133 89.4 8.4% 11.1% vs RHP 398 11.1% 0.0% 8.9% 23
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 49 ⚪ D +575 ❄ COLD 83 0.136 88.3 7.1% 16.7% vs RHP 392 6.2% 8.3% 9.8% 42
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 132 0.080 89.1 7.9% 0.0% vs RHP 414 3.6% 0.0% 7.1% 24
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.101 86.1 3.5% 5.0% vs RHP 383 6.2% 0.0% 7.9% 48
🏟️
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