CHC
@
8:40p
COL
Stadium Conditions
Coors Field
First pitch 8:40p
· roof open
Park 1.16×
Wind 8 mph out
87°F
open
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+13
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.63
87°F, wind 8 mph SE (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 85 | 🟢 A | +290 | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.276 | 91.2 | 13.5% | 33.3% vs LHP | 402 | 26.8% | 54.5% | 39.6% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 53 | 🟠 C | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.132 | 88.0 | 9.9% | 0.0% vs LHP | 422 | 6.8% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Mccarthy | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.164 | 84.8 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Kyle Karros | 48 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.117 | 89.4 | 8.6% | 8.3% vs LHP | 408 | 6.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Tj Rumfield | 48 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 89 | 0.155 | 85.2 | 9.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 44 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.098 | 88.9 | 7.8% | 0.0% vs LHP | 415 | 4.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Chad Stevens | 32 | ⚪ D | +600 | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.000 | 81.8 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 7 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 82 | 🟢 A | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.259 | 90.6 | 12.5% | 33.3% vs RHP | 402 | 23.4% | 33.3% | 45.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🔥 HOT | 16 | 0.179 | 91.9 | 10.8% | 18.6% vs RHP | 392 | 15.4% | 33.3% | 28.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 59 | 🟠 C | +420 | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.169 | 89.0 | 9.2% | 24.1% vs RHP | 410 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 57 | 🟠 C | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.150 | 88.4 | 10.7% | 12.5% vs RHP | 402 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Moises Ballesteros | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | ❄ COLD | 59 | 0.175 | 90.7 | 9.9% | 22.2% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 82 | 0.133 | 89.4 | 8.4% | 11.1% vs RHP | 398 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 49 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 83 | 0.136 | 88.3 | 7.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 392 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 132 | 0.080 | 89.1 | 7.9% | 0.0% vs RHP | 414 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.101 | 86.1 | 3.5% | 5.0% vs RHP | 383 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 48 |