Chad Stevens
Today's Matchup ?Live matchup data for today's game. Pitcher stats, report flags, park factor, and weather all feed into the model score.
SF @ COL · 3:10p
Robbie Ray
(LHP)
HR/FB 23.2% ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. Higher = more HR-prone. League avg is ~12%.
HR/9 2.01 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. Higher = pitcher gives up more longballs.
FIP 5.65 ?Fielding Independent Pitching — isolates pitcher skill from defense. Higher FIP = more HR-vulnerable.
#216
⚪ D
Coors Field
Park × 1.039 ?Park factor for this stadium. Values above 1.0 boost HR probability; below 1.0 suppress it. Based on multi-year park HR data.
WT 4 ?Weather modifier. Positive = wind/heat boost HRs. Negative = cold/headwind suppresses them. Based on live game-time weather data.
HR Profile
?Statcast-style HR metrics for this batter — same fields the model scores on. Red = elite, orange = above average, blue = below average, grey = no data.
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
·
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
82.6
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
1th pctile
10.8%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
78th pctile
0.0%
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball. >18% elite, league avg ~12%.
6th pctile
·
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
0.0%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
0.0%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
9.5%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
34th pctile
10
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
🤷
No results history for Chad Stevens
This batter hasn't appeared in the scored pool yet.