2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
TEX
@ 7:40p
KC
Kauffman Stadium · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Kauffman Stadium

First pitch 7:40p · roof open
Park 0.93× Wind 6 mph cross 89°F open
-5
4 mph · in
78°F
7:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
4 mph · in
78°F
8:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
4 mph · in
78°F
9:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
4 mph · in
78°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
4 mph · in
78°F
11:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

89°F, wind 6 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo RHP
0.91 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.44 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 58 🟠 C +475 · 47 0.185 91.0 13.0% 23.3% vs RHP 395 15.6% 33.3% 17.3% 9
2 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 55 🟠 C +700 🌤️ WARM 56 0.210 91.7 10.1% 22.2% vs RHP 386 13.6% 25.0% 19.4% 38
3 Josh Jung Josh Jung 46 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 101 0.169 89.4 7.8% 17.6% vs RHP 387 13.6% 25.0% 14.7% 41
4 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 45 ⚪ D +750 · 104 0.156 91.9 11.3% 14.9% vs RHP 411 10.0% 8.3% 7.8% 31
5 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 44 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 107 0.165 89.0 10.9% 17.6% vs RHP 401 8.7% 0.0% 11.5% 17
6 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 44 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 109 0.143 90.1 8.8% 6.7% vs RHP 373 5.4% 33.3% 12.0% 9
7 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 142 0.164 90.2 8.3% 13.0% vs RHP 370 8.0% 0.0% 9.1% 33
8 Evan Carter Evan Carter 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 143 0.150 87.8 9.0% 13.6% vs RHP 368 11.9% 0.0% 7.4% 16
9 Nicky Lopez Nicky Lopez 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 222 0.085 84.0 · 16.7% 397 12.5% 12.5% 6.7% 21
MacKenzie Gore
MacKenzie Gore LHP
0.77 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.25 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 48 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 86 0.149 94.0 11.7% 25.0% vs LHP 414 10.7% 18.2% 14.5% 24
2 Starling Marte Starling Marte 40 ⚪ D +900 🔥 HOT 138 0.084 92.0 11.4% 0.0% vs LHP 441 4.8% 33.3% 7.0% 7
3 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 36 ⚪ D +700 · 162 0.127 89.0 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 395 9.8% 8.3% 5.2% 41
4 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 33 ⚪ D · · 175 0.128 86.3 6.5% 0.0% vs LHP 381 6.7% 12.5% 5.6% 26
5 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 29 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 198 0.088 88.2 8.1% 9.1% vs LHP 377 5.5% 0.0% 6.7% 24
6 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 28 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 199 0.078 86.4 5.2% 6.7% vs LHP 408 10.0% 20.0% 6.4% 22
🏟️
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