2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 7:07p · roof unknown
Park 1.07× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.07

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer RHP 🎯 Susceptible 💥 Meltdown
2.70 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.57 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 89 🟢 A +750 🌧️ COOL 1 0.336 93.1 17.2% 44.4% vs RHP 402 26.7% 16.7% 43.3% 25
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 73 🟡 B +700 🌤️ WARM 10 0.235 90.0 13.8% 36.7% vs RHP 408 19.4% 8.3% 24.1% 26
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 62 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 27 0.175 90.5 10.4% 21.2% vs RHP 391 10.2% 27.3% 26.0% 25
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 55 🟠 C · · 58 0.155 90.0 10.2% 11.9% vs RHP 392 10.5% 9.1% 12.1% 33
5 Adolis Garcia Adolis Garcia 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 72 0.134 92.1 11.5% 12.5% vs RHP 399 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 23
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.131 90.2 7.1% 13.0% vs RHP 376 9.8% 16.7% 10.8% 37
7 Trea Turner Trea Turner 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 96 0.113 88.9 8.6% 14.6% vs RHP 394 11.3% 8.3% 10.1% 39
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.110 87.6 4.4% 8.3% vs RHP 382 4.3% 0.0% 9.7% 23
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo LHP
1.06 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.37 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.217 89.5 8.0% 33.3% vs LHP 397 17.6% 33.3% 30.8% 27
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 58 🟠 C +950 🌧️ COOL 49 0.187 92.4 10.1% 25.0% vs LHP 405 14.6% 23.1% 24.4% 28
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 128 0.160 85.6 4.5% 15.8% vs LHP 374 10.9% 15.4% 11.1% 43
4 George Springer George Springer 41 ⚪ D · · 130 0.153 87.9 7.3% 7.7% vs LHP 387 7.0% 0.0% 9.4% 30
5 Myles Straw Myles Straw 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.094 86.4 5.7% 5.9% vs LHP 389 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 16
6 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 203 0.086 86.6 2.7% 4.2% 374 2.1% 9.1% 9.0% 41
🏟️
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