MIN
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 5 mph slight_out
88°F
open
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18
88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 80 | 🟢 A | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.287 | 90.8 | 13.5% | 31.7% vs RHP | 394 | 23.0% | 36.4% | 28.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 71 | 🟡 B | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.237 | 91.0 | 11.0% | 26.7% vs RHP | 377 | 16.3% | 42.9% | 28.3% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 35 | 0.180 | 90.3 | 13.5% | 18.2% vs RHP | 396 | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 57 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.147 | 91.4 | 13.2% | 10.5% vs RHP | 394 | 9.2% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 40 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 137 | 0.129 | 88.1 | 8.9% | 5.6% vs RHP | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 149 | 0.103 | 84.6 | 6.3% | 8.3% vs RHP | 395 | 6.0% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Zack Short | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.060 | 90.8 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Colt Keith | 30 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.071 | 88.4 | 5.7% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Zach Mckinstry ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 221 | 0.046 | 84.9 | 3.0% | 3.7% vs RHP | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 20 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 72 | 🟡 B | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.309 | 90.4 | 10.7% | 17.6% vs LHP | 399 | 31.5% | 33.3% | 23.8% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Brooks Lee | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 95 | 0.171 | 87.5 | 5.7% | 19.1% vs LHP | 370 | 15.3% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan Kreidler | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.206 | 86.9 | 6.5% | 18.8% | 413 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell | 40 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 139 | 0.125 | 89.9 | 8.0% | 5.3% vs LHP | 401 | 6.7% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Royce Lewis | 36 | ⚪ D | +1000 | ❄ COLD | 163 | 0.105 | 87.5 | 8.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 382 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 10 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Martin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.084 | 86.4 | 4.1% | 5.9% vs LHP | 392 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Orlando Arcia | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 216 | 0.081 | 87.9 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 374 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.078 | 84.3 | 4.1% | 0.0% vs LHP | 367 | 1.8% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 34 |