2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
MIN
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Comerica Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.98× Wind 5 mph slight_out 88°F open
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
+3
8 mph · slight_out
74°F
10:40p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.18

88°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Mike Paredes
Mike Paredes RHP
1.23 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.14 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 80 🟢 A +750 🌤️ WARM 6 0.287 90.8 13.5% 31.7% vs RHP 394 23.0% 36.4% 28.3% 38
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 71 🟡 B +750 🌧️ COOL 15 0.237 91.0 11.0% 26.7% vs RHP 377 16.3% 42.9% 28.3% 18
3 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 61 🔵 C+ +400 · 35 0.180 90.3 13.5% 18.2% vs RHP 396 14.1% 16.7% 14.4% 30
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 57 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 52 0.147 91.4 13.2% 10.5% vs RHP 394 9.2% 25.0% 14.3% 34
5 Kevin Mcgonigle Kevin Mcgonigle 40 ⚪ D +850 · 137 0.129 88.1 8.9% 5.6% vs RHP 407 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 34
6 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.103 84.6 6.3% 8.3% vs RHP 395 6.0% 16.7% 8.5% 16
7 Zack Short Zack Short 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.060 90.8 8.0% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 9
8 Colt Keith Colt Keith 30 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 194 0.071 88.4 5.7% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 24
9 Zach Mckinstry Zach Mckinstry 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 221 0.046 84.9 3.0% 3.7% vs RHP 399 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 20
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez LHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.17 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 72 🟡 B +390 🌤️ WARM 12 0.309 90.4 10.7% 17.6% vs LHP 399 31.5% 33.3% 23.8% 24
2 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 47 ⚪ D · · 95 0.171 87.5 5.7% 19.1% vs LHP 370 15.3% 27.3% 16.9% 39
3 Ryan Kreidler Ryan Kreidler 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 114 0.206 86.9 6.5% 18.8% 413 9.1% 0.0% 12.0% 15
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 40 ⚪ D +900 · 139 0.125 89.9 8.0% 5.3% vs LHP 401 6.7% 18.2% 8.2% 31
5 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 36 ⚪ D +1000 ❄ COLD 163 0.105 87.5 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 382 11.5% 0.0% 5.6% 10
6 Austin Martin Austin Martin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.084 86.4 4.1% 5.9% vs LHP 392 2.4% 0.0% 6.3% 28
7 Orlando Arcia Orlando Arcia 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.081 87.9 4.2% 10.0% 374 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 22
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.078 84.3 4.1% 0.0% vs LHP 367 1.8% 0.0% 5.6% 34
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