5
HRs allowed
10.0%
HR rate (pool)
13.5%
Overall HR/FB
5.29
FIP
5.36
xFIP
-0.07
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
56
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 56th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.1 EV · 381 ft
max EV allowed 113.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Mike Paredes.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
37.0%
86.1
25.8°
3
+2.3
Changeup Offspeed
25.6%
85.2
6.9°
1
+0.6
Sweeper Breaking
22.0%
83.3
20.2°
1
+1.1
Cutter Hard
15.4%
87.6
9.4°
1
-2.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups50
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate10.0%
Pool HR/game day0.83
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB13.5% 56
HR/9—
FIP5.29 85
xFIP5.36
FIP − xFIP-0.07 40
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Fastball
Hard · 37.0% usage
+2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle25.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches204
Changeup
Offspeed · 25.6% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle6.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches141
Sweeper
Breaking · 22.0% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle20.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches121
Cutter
Hard · 15.4% usage
-2.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.6 mph
Avg launch angle9.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches85
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Mike Paredes.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.1 EV · 381 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-25
8
0
102.5
2026-07-03
8
2
105.2
2026-06-27
9
2
113.3
2026-06-21
9
0
109.1
2026-06-15
7
1
104.9
2026-06-10
9
0
105.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Mike Paredes isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Mike Paredes isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
17
2
12%
8
2
25%
7
1
14%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.