Mike Paredes
RHP
MIN
1
HRs Allowed
4.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
12.8%
Overall HR/FB
5.2
FIP
5.46
xFIP
-0.26
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.33
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
53th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
79.2%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
5.2
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
83th pctile
5.46
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.26
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
35th pctile
4.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
25
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
4.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6.2% | 0.5 | 99.4mph | 104.3mph | 33.0° | 394ft | Up +2.2pp |
| Last 15 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4.0% | 0.33 | 97.8mph | 104.3mph | 33.0° | 394ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4.0% | 0.33 | 97.8mph | 104.3mph | 33.0° | 394ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.8
Avg Max EV
109.1
Max EV Allowed
19
Hard-Hit Proxy · 79.2%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
104.3
Avg HR EV
33.0°
Avg HR Launch
394
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Ketel Marte | 109.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Tommy Troy | 106.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Corbin Carroll | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Jake Burger | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Joc Pederson | 104.3mph | 104.3mph | 33° | 394ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-15 | Brandon Nimmo | 103.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Alejandro Osuna | 103.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Dillon Dingler | 105.2mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Joc Pederson | #62 | 51 | Globe Life Field | 104.3mph | 33.0° | 394ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 122 | 39.7% | -0.8 | 86.6 | 23.9° | 1 |
| Changeup | 70 | 22.8% | +1.1 | 87.7 | -4.3° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 66 | 21.5% | -1.1 | 80.2 | 21.8° | 0 |
| Cutter | 49 | 16.0% | -2.6 | 86.3 | 2.1° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
79.2%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Pavin Smith | #215 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Geraldo Perdomo | #197 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Ildemaro Vargas | #176 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Jorge Barrosa | #175 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Nolan Arenado | #166 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Tommy Troy | #157 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Ketel Marte | #108 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Gabriel Moreno | #86 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Corbin Carroll | #32 | 63 | 🔵 C+ | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Alejandro Osuna | #148 | 12 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Nicky Lopez | #145 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Josh Jung | #118 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Brandon Nimmo | #92 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Wyatt Langford | #80 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Joc Pederson | #62 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-15 | Jake Burger | #59 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Colt Keith | #209 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Zach McKinstry | #203 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Zack Short | #190 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Gleyber Torres | #149 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Kevin McGonigle | #138 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Riley Greene | #51 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Spencer Torkelson | #43 | 58 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Kerry Carpenter | #22 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Dillon Dingler | #7 | 80 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |