2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAD
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.87× Wind 5 mph out 88°F open
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.05

88°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Jared Jones
Jared Jones RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.94 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.79 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Max Muncy Max Muncy 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.245 90.9 13.6% 28.3% vs RHP 408 17.8% 15.4% 17.6% 36
2 Dalton Rushing Dalton Rushing 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.271 88.4 10.7% 41.2% vs RHP 396 12.5% 33.3% 19.8% 18
3 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 62 🔵 C+ · · 30 0.219 93.4 12.6% 18.4% vs RHP 401 12.7% 25.0% 21.2% 34
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.230 89.8 10.4% 27.5% vs RHP 390 19.0% 27.3% 15.6% 42
5 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 53 0.193 91.1 11.1% 18.6% vs RHP 395 12.9% 33.3% 18.7% 41
6 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 127 0.165 90.2 9.9% 15.4% vs RHP 388 4.2% 0.0% 6.7% 36
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 38 ⚪ D · · 150 0.142 88.9 7.7% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 28
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.128 89.2 9.1% 12.5% vs RHP 373 4.5% 8.3% 7.0% 22
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani RHP
0.28 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.65 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 80 0.263 90.0 6.5% 26.7% vs RHP 393 14.8% 18.2% 18.7% 28
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 42 ⚪ D · · 123 0.173 90.1 4.8% 22.2% vs RHP 380 18.9% 37.5% 14.7% 17
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 158 0.184 86.2 5.1% 20.0% vs RHP 390 11.3% 18.2% 9.4% 39
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 161 0.149 90.7 5.6% 11.1% vs RHP 415 11.7% 25.0% 10.9% 33
5 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 34 ⚪ D · · 168 0.119 89.9 6.9% 9.1% vs RHP 383 14.3% 25.0% 7.0% 16
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 223 0.078 85.8 3.3% 9.5% vs RHP 389 3.4% 16.7% 6.1% 38
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 229 0.048 84.0 1.8% 12.5% vs RHP 410 4.3% 20.0% 5.8% 27
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.047 86.9 2.1% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 25
🏟️
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