LAD
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.87×
Wind 5 mph out
88°F
open
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.05
88°F, wind 5 mph W (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Max Muncy | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.245 | 90.9 | 13.6% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 17.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Dalton Rushing | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 25 | 0.271 | 88.4 | 10.7% | 41.2% vs RHP | 396 | 12.5% | 33.3% | 19.8% | 18 |
| 3 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.219 | 93.4 | 12.6% | 18.4% vs RHP | 401 | 12.7% | 25.0% | 21.2% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Andy Pages | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.230 | 89.8 | 10.4% | 27.5% vs RHP | 390 | 19.0% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.193 | 91.1 | 11.1% | 18.6% vs RHP | 395 | 12.9% | 33.3% | 18.7% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Mookie Betts | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.165 | 90.2 | 9.9% | 15.4% vs RHP | 388 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.142 | 88.9 | 7.7% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.128 | 89.2 | 9.1% | 12.5% vs RHP | 373 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 22 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 80 | 0.263 | 90.0 | 6.5% | 26.7% vs RHP | 393 | 14.8% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.173 | 90.1 | 4.8% | 22.2% vs RHP | 380 | 18.9% | 37.5% | 14.7% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 158 | 0.184 | 86.2 | 5.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 390 | 11.3% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 161 | 0.149 | 90.7 | 5.6% | 11.1% vs RHP | 415 | 11.7% | 25.0% | 10.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.119 | 89.9 | 6.9% | 9.1% vs RHP | 383 | 14.3% | 25.0% | 7.0% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.078 | 85.8 | 3.3% | 9.5% vs RHP | 389 | 3.4% | 16.7% | 6.1% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 229 | 0.048 | 84.0 | 1.8% | 12.5% vs RHP | 410 | 4.3% | 20.0% | 5.8% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.047 | 86.9 | 2.1% | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 25 |