2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
AZ
@ 6:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

loanDepot Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof unknown
Park 0.96× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Neutral · Combined 0.96

Dome — weather irrelevant — mild park boost, weather flat.

Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto RHP
0.00 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.94 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.259 91.9 12.1% 25.0% vs RHP 406 17.8% 33.3% 20.8% 39
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.196 89.7 11.3% 16.0% vs RHP 403 13.6% 20.0% 12.8% 28
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 76 0.194 90.8 11.1% 15.9% vs RHP 416 12.8% 18.2% 9.3% 38
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.191 85.4 8.8% 18.2% vs RHP 400 12.1% 9.1% 8.9% 23
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.172 86.8 6.8% 11.5% vs RHP 399 8.7% 0.0% 7.3% 29
6 Tommy Troy Tommy Troy 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.125 86.4 9.8% 14.3% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 26
7 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.099 87.7 10.2% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 23
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 202 0.108 87.3 5.9% 6.9% vs RHP 372 4.0% 8.3% 5.2% 39
9 Pavin Smith Pavin Smith 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 226 0.000 86.0 8.4% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 12
Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson RHP
1.74 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.32 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 50 🟠 C · · 78 0.151 91.5 11.5% 21.7% vs RHP 395 7.3% 11.1% 14.4% 14
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 81 0.189 85.8 7.1% 25.6% vs RHP 378 18.6% 11.1% 13.0% 32
3 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.155 90.5 9.2% 14.8% vs RHP 381 5.0% 9.1% 9.4% 30
4 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 111 0.140 90.3 9.0% 11.1% vs RHP 400 6.2% 9.1% 7.9% 39
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.151 87.3 8.0% 5.9% vs RHP 396 7.8% 0.0% 7.9% 34
6 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 171 0.111 87.4 4.1% 0.0% vs RHP 369 5.6% 16.7% 6.1% 20
7 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 179 0.097 86.8 6.2% 5.7% vs RHP 374 6.4% 0.0% 6.9% 23
8 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.045 88.7 5.3% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 2
🏟️
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