SEA
@
6:35p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 6:35p
· roof open
Park 1.13×
Wind 1 mph out
74°F
open
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
6:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
7:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
8:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
9:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
10:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13
74°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.263 | 93.2 | 12.3% | 30.0% vs RHP | 404 | 12.2% | 37.5% | 33.5% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 78 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.264 | 90.3 | 12.9% | 40.6% vs RHP | 384 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 36.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 20 | 0.200 | 90.5 | 9.2% | 18.2% vs RHP | 410 | 20.8% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Mitch Garver | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 8.1% | 20.0% vs RHP | 394 | 10.5% | 50.0% | 16.1% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Patrick Wisdom | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.125 | 92.6 | 14.2% | 20.0% vs RHP | 429 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.160 | 91.6 | 8.4% | 17.9% vs RHP | 385 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 105 | 0.115 | 87.6 | 6.8% | 16.2% vs RHP | 391 | 10.6% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 121 | 0.123 | 87.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% vs RHP | 393 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 45 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Colton Cowser | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.175 | 86.4 | 8.1% | 24.0% vs RHP | 418 | 18.5% | 42.9% | 21.7% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 48 | 0.198 | 94.9 | 7.7% | 22.7% vs RHP | 395 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 65 | 0.203 | 89.0 | 6.7% | 15.9% vs RHP | 390 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 103 | 0.173 | 88.4 | 8.2% | 18.2% vs RHP | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.109 | 92.7 | 4.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 393 | 4.9% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Ward | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.102 | 89.7 | 5.0% | 5.7% vs RHP | 386 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Leody Taveras | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 178 | 0.121 | 86.7 | 4.7% | 13.6% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.071 | 87.6 | 5.1% | 11.8% vs RHP | 397 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 12 |