2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SEA
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Camden Yards

First pitch 6:35p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 1 mph out 74°F open
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
6:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
7:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
8:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
9:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
10:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13

74°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Brandon Young
Brandon Young RHP
1.11 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.35 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 78 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 7 0.263 93.2 12.3% 30.0% vs RHP 404 12.2% 37.5% 33.5% 25
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 78 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 8 0.264 90.3 12.9% 40.6% vs RHP 384 20.0% 25.0% 36.7% 24
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.200 90.5 9.2% 18.2% vs RHP 410 20.8% 27.3% 23.8% 40
4 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.132 90.0 8.1% 20.0% vs RHP 394 10.5% 50.0% 16.1% 11
5 Patrick Wisdom Patrick Wisdom 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 69 0.125 92.6 14.2% 20.0% vs RHP 429 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 15
6 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 51 🟠 C · · 75 0.160 91.6 8.4% 17.9% vs RHP 385 9.5% 9.1% 11.3% 42
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.115 87.6 6.8% 16.2% vs RHP 391 10.6% 18.2% 9.2% 40
8 Cole Young Cole Young 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 121 0.123 87.5 6.8% 7.9% vs RHP 393 6.3% 9.1% 8.0% 45
George Kirby
George Kirby RHP
0.75 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.24 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 58 🟠 C · · 46 0.175 86.4 8.1% 24.0% vs RHP 418 18.5% 42.9% 21.7% 30
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 58 🟠 C · · 48 0.198 94.9 7.7% 22.7% vs RHP 395 16.7% 16.7% 21.1% 42
3 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 65 0.203 89.0 6.7% 15.9% vs RHP 390 18.8% 8.3% 13.5% 43
4 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 45 ⚪ D · · 103 0.173 88.4 8.2% 18.2% vs RHP 372 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 25
5 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 133 0.109 92.7 4.9% 12.5% vs RHP 393 4.9% 25.0% 14.3% 24
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.102 89.7 5.0% 5.7% vs RHP 386 4.5% 8.3% 7.6% 37
7 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 178 0.121 86.7 4.7% 13.6% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 36
8 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.071 87.6 5.1% 11.8% vs RHP 397 8.7% 0.0% 8.4% 12
🏟️
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