2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CIN
@ 4:10p
SD
Petco Park · 13 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Petco Park

First pitch 4:10p · roof open
Park 0.93× Wind 8 mph slight_out 76°F open
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02

76°F, wind 8 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael King RHP
0.99 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.12 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.243 89.5 11.8% 37.5% vs RHP 398 20.0% 11.1% 17.7% 22
2 Jj Bleday Jj Bleday 59 🟠 C · · 39 0.293 90.1 11.3% 36.4% vs RHP 386 0.0% 0.0% 26.8% 40
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 53 🟠 C · · 64 0.197 90.7 12.4% 20.0% vs RHP 394 9.8% 8.3% 13.0% 32
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 50 🟠 C · · 77 0.187 89.5 11.5% 11.1% vs RHP 393 9.5% 8.3% 15.3% 29
5 Matt Mclain Matt Mclain 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.172 88.3 9.6% 11.6% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 16
6 Dane Myers Dane Myers 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.129 90.8 9.7% 14.3% vs RHP 378 8.0% 0.0% 8.1% 12
7 Eugenio Suarez Eugenio Suarez 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 172 0.116 86.8 8.8% 14.3% vs RHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 24
8 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 230 0.058 87.0 · 16.7% 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 8
Brady Singer
Brady Singer RHP 🎯 Susceptible 💥 Meltdown
2.79 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +2.36 ·
5 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 59 🟠 C · · 43 0.231 89.2 10.7% 33.3% vs RHP 398 12.3% 9.1% 19.7% 23
2 Rodolfo Duran Rodolfo Duran 57 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 51 0.200 87.8 15.0% 20.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 18.4% 3
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.166 89.7 9.7% 26.7% vs RHP 393 16.7% 16.7% 14.0% 38
4 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 90 0.127 89.5 11.1% 10.5% vs RHP 410 10.2% 16.7% 9.6% 36
5 Bryce Johnson Bryce Johnson 18 ⚪ D · · 225 0.068 79.1 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 7
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