CIN
@
4:10p
SD
Stadium Conditions
Petco Park
First pitch 4:10p
· roof open
Park 0.93×
Wind 8 mph slight_out
76°F
open
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
4:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
5:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-13
11 mph · in
75°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.02
76°F, wind 8 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.243 | 89.5 | 11.8% | 37.5% vs RHP | 398 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Jj Bleday | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 39 | 0.293 | 90.1 | 11.3% | 36.4% vs RHP | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.8% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 64 | 0.197 | 90.7 | 12.4% | 20.0% vs RHP | 394 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 77 | 0.187 | 89.5 | 11.5% | 11.1% vs RHP | 393 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Mclain | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.172 | 88.3 | 9.6% | 11.6% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Dane Myers | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.129 | 90.8 | 9.7% | 14.3% vs RHP | 378 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suarez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.116 | 86.8 | 8.8% | 14.3% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 230 | 0.058 | 87.0 | · | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 8 |
5 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.231 | 89.2 | 10.7% | 33.3% vs RHP | 398 | 12.3% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Rodolfo Duran | 57 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 51 | 0.200 | 87.8 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 3 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 61 | 0.166 | 89.7 | 9.7% | 26.7% vs RHP | 393 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 90 | 0.127 | 89.5 | 11.1% | 10.5% vs RHP | 410 | 10.2% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryce Johnson | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 225 | 0.068 | 79.1 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7 |