2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
WSH
@ 3:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 3:45p · roof open
Park 0.85× Wind 11 mph out 75°F open
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
3:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
4:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
5:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
6:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
7:45p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.20

75°F, wind 11 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray LHP
1.77 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.59 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 72 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 13 0.247 96.0 16.9% 30.8% vs LHP 408 26.5% 16.7% 21.0% 26
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 59 🟠 C · · 45 0.233 89.4 10.7% 15.8% vs LHP 398 16.7% 20.0% 18.0% 30
3 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 71 0.209 90.0 8.3% 22.2% vs LHP 372 17.6% 14.3% 13.0% 22
4 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 110 0.107 91.9 10.5% 20.0% vs LHP 414 18.2% 16.7% 7.9% 25
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 44 ⚪ D · · 113 0.161 88.0 9.7% 0.0% vs LHP 403 10.4% 8.3% 5.7% 39
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 124 0.151 89.2 8.6% 6.7% vs LHP 391 11.4% 9.1% 7.5% 22
7 Andres Chaparro Andres Chaparro 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.097 87.4 8.0% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 3
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 207 0.089 83.5 6.6% 3.0% 364 2.8% 0.0% 5.0% 21
9 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 10 ⚪ D · · 231 0.021 84.8 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 18
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin LHP
1.64 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.81 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 36 0.247 89.4 12.3% 16.7% vs LHP 393 19.4% 15.4% 17.6% 51
2 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.161 92.7 10.9% 8.3% 407 16.7% 22.2% 8.4% 37
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 47 ⚪ D · · 97 0.174 91.8 10.8% 12.5% vs LHP 400 11.5% 7.7% 8.9% 33
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 155 0.137 87.9 7.8% 12.5% vs LHP 389 4.8% 15.4% 11.3% 42
5 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.130 87.7 5.3% 8.3% vs LHP 363 5.4% 0.0% 6.3% 49
6 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.077 87.2 7.6% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 24
🏟️
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