STL
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.97×
Wind 10 mph slight_out
82°F
open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17
81°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.263 | 94.5 | 13.7% | 33.3% vs RHP | 406 | 19.2% | 9.1% | 17.8% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 68 | 0.166 | 91.5 | 11.9% | 17.1% vs RHP | 402 | 14.5% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Nathan Church | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 116 | 0.144 | 85.9 | 11.3% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.157 | 89.4 | 9.6% | 16.7% vs RHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.145 | 90.7 | 10.1% | 17.5% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.085 | 86.9 | 6.4% | 11.8% vs RHP | 379 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
José Fermín | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.120 | 85.6 | 4.4% | 12.5% vs RHP | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 20 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.244 | 92.7 | 10.2% | 29.4% vs RHP | 402 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 55 | 🟠 C | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.190 | 91.8 | 10.2% | 27.3% vs RHP | 404 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Benge | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 98 | 0.138 | 90.2 | 8.0% | 13.5% vs RHP | 401 | 8.0% | 27.3% | 14.8% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Marcus Semien | 46 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 99 | 0.136 | 86.5 | 7.7% | 15.6% vs RHP | 390 | 11.1% | 36.4% | 13.9% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Luis Torrens | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.106 | 89.1 | 5.6% | 7.7% vs RHP | 413 | 5.9% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Brett Baty | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 170 | 0.099 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 173 | 0.097 | 91.1 | 6.9% | 2.4% vs RHP | 389 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 34 |