2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.97× Wind 10 mph slight_out 82°F open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.17

81°F, wind 10 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Austin Warren
Austin Warren RHP
0.82 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.10 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.263 94.5 13.7% 33.3% vs RHP 406 19.2% 9.1% 17.8% 34
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 52 🟠 C · · 68 0.166 91.5 11.9% 17.1% vs RHP 402 14.5% 18.2% 10.3% 37
3 Nathan Church Nathan Church 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 116 0.144 85.9 11.3% 25.0% vs RHP 387 8.6% 0.0% 11.3% 4
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 40 ⚪ D · · 135 0.157 89.4 9.6% 16.7% vs RHP 404 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 36
5 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 144 0.145 90.7 10.1% 17.5% vs RHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 30
6 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 29 ⚪ D · · 195 0.085 86.9 6.4% 11.8% vs RHP 379 3.3% 10.0% 7.4% 27
7 José Fermín José Fermín 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 208 0.120 85.6 4.4% 12.5% vs RHP 372 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 20
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante RHP
1.13 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.33 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 64 🔵 C+ +850 🌧️ COOL 24 0.244 92.7 10.2% 29.4% vs RHP 402 20.0% 18.2% 20.9% 36
2 Jared Young Jared Young 55 🟠 C +850 🌤️ WARM 55 0.190 91.8 10.2% 27.3% vs RHP 404 11.1% 16.7% 23.9% 26
3 Carson Benge Carson Benge 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 98 0.138 90.2 8.0% 13.5% vs RHP 401 8.0% 27.3% 14.8% 33
4 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 46 ⚪ D +950 🔥 HOT 99 0.136 86.5 7.7% 15.6% vs RHP 390 11.1% 36.4% 13.9% 31
5 Luis Torrens Luis Torrens 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.106 89.1 5.6% 7.7% vs RHP 413 5.9% 14.3% 7.1% 20
6 Brett Baty Brett Baty 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 170 0.099 89.3 7.3% 10.3% vs RHP 415 4.8% 0.0% 7.9% 25
7 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.097 91.1 6.9% 2.4% vs RHP 389 6.3% 0.0% 6.4% 34
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