2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Austin Warren
Austin Warren RHP NYM
16 matchups scored · 2 game days
3 HRs Allowed
18.8% HR Rate (Pool)
10.9% Overall HR/FB
3.23 FIP
3.53 xFIP
-0.30 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
34th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.23
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
23th pctile
3.53
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.30
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
33th pctile
18.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
18.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 7 1 2 28.6% 2.0 103.7mph 109.5mph 23.0° 404ft Up +9.8pp
Last 15 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 97.6mph 106.1mph 27.0° 394ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 16 2 3 18.8% 1.5 97.6mph 106.1mph 27.0° 394ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
14 tracked BBE from 16 pool matchups
97.6
111.7
10
0
106.1
27.0°
394
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-10 Alec Burleson 111.7mph 111.7mph 23° 408ft Yes
2026-06-10 Jordan Walker 107.7mph 107.3mph 23° 401ft Yes
2026-06-10 Masyn Winn 107.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Iván Herrera 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 JJ Wetherholt 102.0mph · · · ·
2026-06-01 Julio Rodríguez 106.6mph · · · ·
2026-06-01 Josh Naylor 99.3mph 99.3mph 35° 373ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 3 total HRs
HRs Allowed
3 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-10 Jordan Walker #24 64 Citi Field 107.3mph 23.0° 401ft
2026-06-10 Alec Burleson #71 52 Citi Field 111.7mph 23.0° 408ft
2026-06-01 Josh Naylor #144 21 T-Mobile Park 99.3mph 35.0° 373ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sweeper 255 50.4% -0.1 82.5 23.0° 1
Sinker 105 20.8% -1.0 83.6 24.7° 1
Fastball 80 15.8% +1.2 84.4 40.3° 1
Curveball 56 11.1% +3.9 80.6 1.8° 1
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
16 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-10 José Fermín #210 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Masyn Winn #191 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Nathan Church #120 43 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 JJ Wetherholt #114 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Iván Herrera #107 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Alec Burleson #71 52 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-10 Jordan Walker #24 64 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 💥
2026-06-01 Leo Rivas #161 8 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-01 Josh Naylor #144 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-01 Cole Young #130 30 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-01 Cal Raleigh #86 41 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-06-01 Randy Arozarena #62 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 J. P. Crawford #45 51 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-01 Julio Rodríguez #29 58 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Dominic Canzone #15 64 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-01 Luke Raley #7 68 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
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