3
HRs allowed
18.8%
HR rate (pool)
10.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.23
FIP
3.53
xFIP
-0.30
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
32
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 32th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 106.1 EV · 394 ft
max EV allowed 111.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Austin Warren.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking
47.7%
82.3
20.6°
1
+0.0
Sinker Hard
25.0%
82.5
24.2°
2
+0.3
Fastball Hard
15.5%
84.1
39.4°
1
+1.1
Curveball Breaking
9.5%
83.2
2.4°
1
+6.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups16
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate18.8%
Pool HR/game day1.5
Top-15 matchups2
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.9% 32
HR/9—
FIP3.23 20
xFIP3.53
FIP − xFIP-0.30 27
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-07
Sweeper
Breaking · 47.7% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle20.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches311
Sinker
Hard · 25.0% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle24.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches163
Fastball
Hard · 15.5% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle39.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches101
Curveball
Breaking · 9.5% usage
+6.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle2.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches62
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Austin Warren.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.1 EV · 394 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-10
7
2
111.7
2026-06-01
9
1
106.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Austin Warren isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Austin Warren isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
7
2
29%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.