Austin Warren
RHP
NYM
3
HRs Allowed
18.8%
HR Rate (Pool)
10.9%
Overall HR/FB
3.23
FIP
3.53
xFIP
-0.30
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
10.9%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
34th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
71.4%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.23
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
23th pctile
3.53
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.30
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
33th pctile
18.8%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
16
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
2
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
18.8%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28.6% | 2.0 | 103.7mph | 109.5mph | 23.0° | 404ft | Up +9.8pp |
| Last 15 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 97.6mph | 106.1mph | 27.0° | 394ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 18.8% | 1.5 | 97.6mph | 106.1mph | 27.0° | 394ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
97.6
Avg Max EV
111.7
Max EV Allowed
10
Hard-Hit Proxy · 71.4%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.1
Avg HR EV
27.0°
Avg HR Launch
394
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Burleson | 111.7mph | 111.7mph | 23° | 408ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Jordan Walker | 107.7mph | 107.3mph | 23° | 401ft | Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | Masyn Winn | 107.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Iván Herrera | 103.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | JJ Wetherholt | 102.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Julio Rodríguez | 106.6mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Josh Naylor | 99.3mph | 99.3mph | 35° | 373ft | Yes |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Jordan Walker | #24 | 64 | Citi Field | 107.3mph | 23.0° | 401ft |
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Burleson | #71 | 52 | Citi Field | 111.7mph | 23.0° | 408ft |
| 2026-06-01 | Josh Naylor | #144 | 21 | T-Mobile Park | 99.3mph | 35.0° | 373ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 255 | 50.4% | -0.1 | 82.5 | 23.0° | 1 |
| Sinker | 105 | 20.8% | -1.0 | 83.6 | 24.7° | 1 |
| Fastball | 80 | 15.8% | +1.2 | 84.4 | 40.3° | 1 |
| Curveball | 56 | 11.1% | +3.9 | 80.6 | 1.8° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
71.4%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | José Fermín | #210 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Masyn Winn | #191 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nathan Church | #120 | 43 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | JJ Wetherholt | #114 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Iván Herrera | #107 | 45 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Alec Burleson | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-10 | Jordan Walker | #24 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Leo Rivas | #161 | 8 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Josh Naylor | #144 | 21 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cole Young | #130 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Cal Raleigh | #86 | 41 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Randy Arozarena | #62 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | J. P. Crawford | #45 | 51 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Julio Rodríguez | #29 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Dominic Canzone | #15 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-01 | Luke Raley | #7 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |