2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BOS
@ 1:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 1:10p · roof unknown
Park 1.09× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.10 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.42 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 63 🔵 C+ · · 26 0.225 90.0 10.4% 32.0% vs RHP 410 19.7% 16.7% 24.8% 29
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 55 🟠 C · · 57 0.171 90.3 9.0% 34.6% vs RHP 391 14.5% 23.1% 28.2% 34
3 Andruw Monasterio Andruw Monasterio 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.144 87.7 6.9% 0.0% vs RHP 398 15.4% 25.0% 12.2% 9
4 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 47 ⚪ D · · 94 0.147 89.8 9.1% 12.1% vs RHP 392 11.3% 7.7% 11.1% 40
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.157 87.2 6.8% 16.1% vs RHP 364 8.3% 0.0% 10.4% 40
6 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 185 0.105 88.9 3.6% 3.7% vs RHP 393 5.6% 0.0% 8.6% 23
7 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 196 0.065 91.8 6.2% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 26
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 204 0.092 85.5 3.7% 5.9% vs RHP 386 1.7% 0.0% 7.4% 36
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 27 ⚪ D · · 206 0.057 83.7 5.2% 0.0% vs RHP 393 5.9% 0.0% 6.6% 35
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett LHP
0.87 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.20 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 61 🔵 C+ · · 33 0.211 92.5 8.5% 42.9% vs LHP 408 21.3% 8.3% 20.1% 36
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.192 90.8 8.5% 9.1% vs LHP 396 15.3% 18.2% 18.9% 25
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 52 🟠 C · · 66 0.204 90.9 7.2% 28.6% vs LHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 28.9% 39
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.107 88.1 4.3% 0.0% vs LHP 386 8.2% 18.2% 10.8% 25
5 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 39 ⚪ D · · 146 0.145 89.6 4.7% 6.7% vs LHP 414 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 24
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 200 0.077 88.7 2.3% 12.5% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 17
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 201 0.070 82.9 3.4% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 11
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.064 86.4 2.2% 0.0% vs LHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 26
9 Austin Slater Austin Slater 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 217 0.022 85.0 4.1% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 6
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