Slate · 2026-06-09

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2026-06-09

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Ian Happ vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.34 HR/FB 21.6% #3 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.34 HR/FB 21.6% #8 Miguel Vargas vs Grant Holmes FIP 5.03 HR/FB 22.2%

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.34 HR/FB 21.6% → #1 Ian Happ, #3 Pete Crow-Armstrong, #11 Seiya Suzuki

📦 STACK Robert Gasser FIP 4.39 HR/FB 9.1% → #4 Nick Kurtz, #6 Shea Langeliers

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Due	BP	Weather	Hit?
1	·Ian Happ (S) ³	87	+6.7	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟢 A	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind7 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
2	Hunter Goodman (R) ⁶	83	+9.6	Colin Rea (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB16.9% HR/91.52 FIP4.64 IP611.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+4 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind7 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1	Hunter Goodman — Home Run OffColin Rea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle24.0° Distance413 ft StadiumCoors Field
3	·Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	77	-6.3	J.T. Ginn (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.5×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.34 FIP4.77 IP576.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
4	·Shea Langeliers (R) ⁴	75	-15.3	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.0% HR/90.76 FIP3.39 IP580.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
5	Nick Kurtz (L) ⁴	74	-15.6	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.0% HR/90.76 FIP3.39 IP580.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Nick Kurtz — Home Run OffRobert Gasser StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
6	·Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	73	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP3.82 IP584.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7	·Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ⁴	72	-2.5	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.7×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind7 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
8	·James Wood (L) ⁴	72	-0.8	Adrian Houser (RHP) WSH @ SF · Oracle Park	9:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.8% Avg EV96.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.3×	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.33 IP588.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp61.8°F Wind15.0 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note62°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
9	·Max Muncy (S) ⁶	71	·	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🟡 B	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	4	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.0×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.0% HR/90.76 FIP3.39 IP580.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	·Ben Rice (L) ³	70	·	Slade Cecconi (RHP) NYY @ CLE · Progressive Field	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.5×	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.19 FIP3.97 IP619.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-58 Weather · Progressive Field warm air · steady wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp77.8°F Wind9.6 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-58 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note78°F, wind 10 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -1
11	Miguel Vargas (R) ²	68	·	Grant Holmes (RHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.2×	ATL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/90.99 FIP3.82 IP636.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Miguel Vargas — Home Run OffGrant Holmes Exit Velo109.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance377 ft StadiumRate Field
12	·Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	68	·	Nick Martinez (RHP) BOS @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.4×	TB Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.10 FIP4.14 IP594.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
13	·Colton Cowser (L)	67	·	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV86.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.57 IP593.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.2°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
14	·Brandon Lowe (L) ⁵	67	·	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	LAD Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.95 FIP3.53 IP586.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-21 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp74.5°F Wind2.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
15	·Julio Rodríguez (R) ²	65	·	Trevor Rogers (LHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.3% HR/91.04 FIP4.13 IP588.6 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.2°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16	Tyler Soderstrom (L) ³	65	-10.2	Robert Gasser (LHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.8×	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB9.0% HR/90.76 FIP3.39 IP580.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Tyler Soderstrom — Home Run OffRobert Gasser Exit Velo95.0 mph Angle26.0° Distance354 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
17	·Pete Alonso (R)	65	·	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.57 IP593.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.2°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
18	·Juan Soto (L) ⁵	65	·	Dustin May (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1.0×	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.04 FIP4.23 IP572.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.3°F Wind9.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 9 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
19	·Brandon Valenzuela (S)	64	·	Zack Wheeler (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3.0×	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.08 FIP3.67 IP589.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20	Matt Olson (L) ³	64	·	Brandon Eisert (LHP) ATL @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV93.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.39 IP588.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Matt Olson — Home Run OffErick Fedde Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle28.0° Distance402 ft StadiumRate Field
21	·Christian Walker (R) ³	64	-4.0	Walbert Ureña (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.53 IP600.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.2°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 6 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +0
22	Coby Mayo (R)	63	·	Logan Gilbert (RHP) SEA @ BAL · Camden Yards	6:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.0×	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.9% HR/90.94 FIP3.57 IP593.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+3 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.2°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0	Coby Mayo — Home Run OffJosé A. Ferrer Exit Velo110.2 mph Angle25.0° Distance422 ft StadiumCamden Yards
23	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	63	-16.2	J.T. Ginn (RHP) MIL @ ATH · Las Vegas Ballpark	10:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.5×	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.34 FIP4.77 IP576.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Las Vegas Ballpark Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteUnknown stadium	Jackson Chourio — Home Run OffJ.T. Ginn Exit Velo94.5 mph Angle26.0° Distance354 ft StadiumLas Vegas Ballpark
24	·Seiya Suzuki (R) ⁴	62	+1.0	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4.5×	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind7 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
25	·Bryce Harper (L) ³	62	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) PHI @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP3.82 IP584.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	62	+4.3	Taj Bradley (RHP) MIN @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.3×	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.1% HR/91.00 FIP4.17 IP613.2 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+14 Weather · Comerica Park warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.7°F Wind2.0 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+14 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note76°F, wind 2 mph ESE (in) — modifier: +0	Dillon Dingler — Home Run OffTaylor Rogers Exit Velo97.2 mph Angle39.0° Distance367 ft StadiumComerica Park
27	·Miguel Amaya (R) ³	62	·	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) CHC @ COL · Coors Field	8:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	3	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV85.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP600.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81.5°F Wind7 mph W Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1
28	·Mike Trout (R) ³	62	-6.1	Kai-Wei Teng (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.4×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.30 FIP4.96 IP596.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.2°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 6 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +0
29	·Jordan Walker (R) ²	62	·	Freddy Peralta (RHP) STL @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2.7×	NYM Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.88 FIP3.75 IP560.5 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+40 Weather · Citi Field mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp68.3°F Wind9.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note68°F, wind 9 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
30	·Zach Neto (R) ²	61	-2.6	Kai-Wei Teng (RHP) HOU @ LAA · Angel Stadium	9:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	0.2×	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.30 FIP4.96 IP596.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-40 Weather · Angel Stadium warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75.2°F Wind6.0 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-40 · Red resistance Spray Sourceproxy · 0 HR Note75°F, wind 6 mph SSW (in) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

You saw the full board yesterday

Tonight's 231 ranked batters are behind the wall - see them all. Six home runs to freedom.

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226 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.7%

▼ -6.7 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 22.4% prior 15d

Results · 2026-06-09

32 HRs

37%

12 caught / 32 HRs

in top 50

#2 Hunter Goodman

37.1%

🟢

#4 Nick Kurtz

24.2%

🟡

#8 Miguel Vargas

27.3%

🔵

#15 Matt Olson

24.1%

🔵

#17 Coby Mayo

20.4%

🔵

#20 Tyler Soderstrom

24.9%

🔵

#23 Jonah Heim

26.8%

🔵

#25 Jackson Chourio

19.3%

🔵

#28 Dillon Dingler

25.9%

🔵

#38 Corbin Carroll

21.6%

🟠

#42 Jesús Sánchez

13.6%

🟠

#43 Byron Buxton

19.8%

🟠

Missed

Michael Busch Spencer Jones Andy Pages Ezequiel Tovar Kerry Carpenter +15 more

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.6%

B 20.1%

C+ 16.2%

C 12.9%

D 8.4%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Slate · 2026-06-09

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.