2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
LAD
@ 6:40p
PIT
PNC Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

PNC Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.86× Wind 2 mph slight_out 74°F open
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.86

75°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer LHP 💥 Meltdown
2.54 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +1.16 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.263 90.1 12.2% 27.3% vs LHP 393 15.1% 18.2% 30.6% 28
2 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.173 90.0 9.0% 12.5% vs LHP 383 16.7% 28.6% 21.1% 16
3 Henry Davis Henry Davis 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 71 0.165 90.8 11.7% 12.5% vs LHP 397 10.0% 12.5% 14.9% 12
4 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.149 90.5 10.0% 23.1% vs LHP 413 10.2% 16.7% 10.6% 35
5 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 37 ⚪ D · · 161 0.105 89.5 9.7% 20.0% vs LHP 408 7.3% 0.0% 7.8% 13
6 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 194 0.078 85.7 6.2% 0.0% vs LHP 389 3.5% 16.7% 5.8% 39
7 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.048 84.3 3.4% 5.9% 410 4.5% 25.0% 6.3% 25
8 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.047 86.8 4.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 24
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes RHP
0.74 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.17 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dalton Rushing Dalton Rushing 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 54 0.271 88.3 6.8% 41.2% vs RHP 396 14.3% 50.0% 18.5% 18
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 69 0.245 90.8 8.6% 28.3% vs RHP 408 18.2% 16.7% 19.2% 31
3 Andy Pages Andy Pages 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.230 90.1 6.6% 27.5% vs RHP 388 17.7% 27.3% 21.9% 41
4 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 49 ⚪ D · · 85 0.219 93.5 8.1% 18.4% vs RHP 401 12.9% 25.0% 19.9% 33
5 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.193 91.0 6.9% 18.6% vs RHP 395 13.1% 33.3% 17.5% 41
6 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 31 ⚪ D · · 188 0.165 89.9 6.1% 15.4% vs RHP 388 4.3% 0.0% 10.7% 35
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 27 ⚪ D · · 208 0.142 88.9 4.9% 10.0% vs RHP 403 4.8% 8.3% 6.8% 29
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 27 ⚪ D · · 209 0.128 88.8 5.9% 12.5% vs RHP 373 4.7% 8.3% 6.9% 19
🏟️
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