LAD
@
6:40p
PIT
Stadium Conditions
PNC Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.86×
Wind 2 mph slight_out
74°F
open
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
6:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
7:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+5
9 mph · out
75°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.86
75°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.263 | 90.1 | 12.2% | 27.3% vs LHP | 393 | 15.1% | 18.2% | 30.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.173 | 90.0 | 9.0% | 12.5% vs LHP | 383 | 16.7% | 28.6% | 21.1% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Henry Davis | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.165 | 90.8 | 11.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 397 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.149 | 90.5 | 10.0% | 23.1% vs LHP | 413 | 10.2% | 16.7% | 10.6% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.105 | 89.5 | 9.7% | 20.0% vs LHP | 408 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 194 | 0.078 | 85.7 | 6.2% | 0.0% vs LHP | 389 | 3.5% | 16.7% | 5.8% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Jake Mangum | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 215 | 0.048 | 84.3 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 410 | 4.5% | 25.0% | 6.3% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.047 | 86.8 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dalton Rushing | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.271 | 88.3 | 6.8% | 41.2% vs RHP | 396 | 14.3% | 50.0% | 18.5% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.245 | 90.8 | 8.6% | 28.3% vs RHP | 408 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Andy Pages | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.230 | 90.1 | 6.6% | 27.5% vs RHP | 388 | 17.7% | 27.3% | 21.9% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.219 | 93.5 | 8.1% | 18.4% vs RHP | 401 | 12.9% | 25.0% | 19.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.193 | 91.0 | 6.9% | 18.6% vs RHP | 395 | 13.1% | 33.3% | 17.5% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Mookie Betts | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.165 | 89.9 | 6.1% | 15.4% vs RHP | 388 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.142 | 88.9 | 4.9% | 10.0% vs RHP | 403 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 209 | 0.128 | 88.8 | 5.9% | 12.5% vs RHP | 373 | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 19 |