2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
BOS
@ 6:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 6:40p · roof unknown
Park 1.13× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.13

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez RHP
1.11 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.41 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 68 🔵 C+ · · 12 0.228 90.5 10.3% 32.0% vs RHP 410 20.0% 16.7% 26.8% 30
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.174 90.4 8.9% 34.6% vs RHP 391 14.8% 30.8% 22.9% 35
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 77 0.149 89.8 8.9% 12.1% vs RHP 392 11.5% 7.7% 9.0% 39
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 93 0.160 87.1 6.8% 16.1% vs RHP 364 8.5% 8.3% 11.7% 40
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.073 86.8 6.8% 3.1% vs RHP 388 4.7% 11.1% 6.8% 25
6 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 173 0.105 88.8 3.6% 3.7% vs RHP 393 5.9% 0.0% 6.9% 21
7 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 176 0.059 83.4 5.2% 0.0% vs RHP 393 6.2% 9.1% 7.3% 35
8 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.069 92.2 6.3% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 24
9 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 185 0.093 85.4 3.6% 5.9% vs RHP 386 1.8% 0.0% 8.2% 33
Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle LHP
0.59 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -1.02 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 56 🟠 C · · 48 0.214 92.4 7.6% 42.9% vs LHP 408 21.7% 8.3% 16.2% 36
2 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.194 91.0 6.6% 28.6% vs LHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 21.9% 38
3 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.109 88.2 4.0% 0.0% vs LHP 386 8.3% 18.2% 11.8% 25
4 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 35 ⚪ D · · 171 0.149 89.7 4.4% 6.7% vs LHP 414 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 21
5 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 210 0.081 87.5 3.8% 3.1% 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 29
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 214 0.080 88.9 2.2% 12.5% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 13
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 218 0.066 86.4 2.0% 0.0% vs LHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 23
8 Austin Slater Austin Slater 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.024 85.2 4.0% 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 2
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.062 84.1 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 28
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