2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
CHC
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 17 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Coors Field

First pitch 8:40p · roof open
Park 1.13× Wind 7 mph cross 82°F open
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
8:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
9:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
10:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
11:40p
Boost for HR environment
+12
11 mph · slight_out
82°F
12:40a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.24

81°F, wind 7 mph W (cross) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.63 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.50 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 87 🟢 A +550 🌤️ WARM 1 0.259 90.7 16.0% 33.3% vs RHP 402 23.8% 33.3% 38.3% 34
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 72 🟡 B +410 🔥 HOT 7 0.179 91.9 13.8% 18.6% vs RHP 392 15.6% 33.3% 24.0% 37
3 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 62 🔵 C+ +650 🔥 HOT 24 0.169 89.2 11.9% 24.1% vs RHP 410 11.4% 18.2% 15.3% 33
4 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 27 0.213 85.8 11.0% 27.8% vs RHP 384 10.0% 0.0% 16.4% 9
5 Moises Ballesteros Moises Ballesteros 58 🟠 C +575 ❄ COLD 42 0.175 90.8 12.8% 22.2% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 14
6 Michael Busch Michael Busch 58 🟠 C +525 ❄ COLD 43 0.150 88.2 13.3% 12.5% vs RHP 398 9.2% 0.0% 11.0% 30
7 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 53 🟠 C +600 🌧️ COOL 62 0.133 89.5 10.8% 11.1% vs RHP 398 11.3% 0.0% 8.3% 21
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 51 🟠 C +800 ❄ COLD 73 0.136 88.3 9.2% 16.7% vs RHP 392 6.3% 8.3% 9.2% 41
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.101 85.9 4.4% 5.0% vs RHP 383 6.2% 0.0% 7.4% 48
Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
1.21 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.14 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 83 🟢 A +800 🌤️ WARM 2 0.276 91.0 13.5% 36.8% vs RHP 402 25.5% 54.5% 37.1% 29
2 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 49 ⚪ D +1000 🔥 HOT 79 0.117 89.9 8.9% 12.5% vs RHP 408 6.2% 20.0% 14.6% 25
3 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.132 87.9 9.8% 15.8% vs RHP 420 5.2% 9.1% 14.2% 27
4 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.164 84.6 8.3% 14.3% vs RHP 418 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 33
5 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 98 0.155 85.3 9.2% 18.6% vs RHP 412 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 25
6 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 122 0.109 90.7 8.9% 13.6% vs RHP 389 3.6% 0.0% 8.9% 15
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.098 88.8 8.1% 9.4% vs RHP 415 4.4% 10.0% 8.4% 29
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 41 ⚪ D +1000 🌤️ WARM 135 0.143 89.0 5.9% 11.1% vs RHP 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 41
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