2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Kai-Wei Teng

Kai-Wei Teng

RHP HOU
86 matchups scored · 10 game days
10
HRs allowed
11.6%
HR rate (pool)
17.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.26
FIP
3.91
xFIP
+0.35
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
83
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
79.2%
79.2%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 100.5 EV · 372 ft max EV allowed 113.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-28 · 1 HR 2026-05-10 · 1 HR 2026-05-29 · 2 HR 2026-06-04 · 1 HR 2026-06-15 · 3 HR 2026-06-27 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR 15D · 5 HR ↑ 30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kai-Wei Teng.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking 34.1% 80.6 17.9° 3 -0.8
Fastball Hard 27.9% 86.1 29.5° 4 +1.4
Sinker Hard 15.8% 85.2 17.1° 1 +0.5
Changeup Offspeed 10.4% 81.3 4.2° 1 +3.5
Curveball Breaking 9.8% 84.2 -1.0° 1 +0.2
Slider Breaking 1.9% 85.2 26.5° 0 +0.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups86
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate11.6%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB17.6% 83
HR/9
FIP4.26 59
xFIP3.91
FIP − xFIP+0.35 67
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed79.2%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sweeper
Breaking · 34.1% usage
-0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle17.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches367
Fastball
Hard · 27.9% usage
+1.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle29.5°
HRs allowed4
Pitches301
Sinker
Hard · 15.8% usage
+0.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle17.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches170
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.4% usage
+3.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches112
Curveball
Breaking · 9.8% usage
+0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle-1.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches106
Slider
Breaking · 1.9% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle26.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches21
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kai-Wei Teng.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 100.5 EV · 372 ft 8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-27 Kerry Carpenter #38 57 Comerica Park 102.7 27.0° 390
2026-06-27 Hao-Yu Lee #186 32 Comerica Park 93.8 37.0° 369
2026-06-15 Spencer Torkelson #51 54 Minute Maid Park 103.0 27.0° 372
2026-06-15 Colt Keith #115 37 Minute Maid Park 99.6 29.0° 347
2026-06-15 Kevin McGonigle #119 36 Minute Maid Park 102.5 33.0° 383
2026-06-04 Ryan O'Hearn #54 51 Minute Maid Park 94.0 31.0° 349
2026-05-29 Jackson Chourio #108 47 Minute Maid Park 107.1 24.0° 431
2026-05-29 David Hamilton #242 17 Minute Maid Park 94.0 30.0° 343
2026-05-10 Spencer Steer #18 52 Great American Ball Park 103.9 25.0° 355.0
2026-04-28 Pete Alonso #32 64 Camden Yards 104.0 26.0° 380.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 10 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-27 Comerica Park 9 2 109.8
2026-06-21 Minute Maid Park 8 0 103.9
2026-06-15 Minute Maid Park 9 3 108.8
2026-06-09 Angel Stadium 7 0 113.4
2026-06-04 Minute Maid Park 8 1 110.4
2026-05-29 Minute Maid Park 9 2 107.1
2026-05-23 Wrigley Field 9 0 103.4
2026-05-16 Minute Maid Park 9 0 104.4
2026-05-10 Great American Ball Park 9 1 110.1
2026-04-28 Camden Yards 9 1 111.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kai-Wei Teng isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Kai-Wei Teng's full pitcher profile is waiting

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86 more waiting in the on-deck circle
THR 3.3.92 · build 597

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