2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 7:07p · roof unknown
Park 1.09× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease RHP
0.67 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.02 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 73 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 6 0.341 93.1 10.8% 44.4% vs RHP 402 27.1% 16.7% 34.8% 28
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 25 0.238 89.9 8.6% 36.7% vs RHP 408 19.7% 16.7% 34.2% 26
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 74 0.178 90.5 6.5% 21.2% vs RHP 391 10.3% 27.3% 23.8% 26
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 42 ⚪ D · · 127 0.152 90.0 6.5% 11.9% vs RHP 392 10.7% 9.1% 10.7% 32
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.133 90.4 4.4% 13.0% vs RHP 376 10.0% 16.7% 8.4% 39
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.115 89.2 5.3% 14.6% vs RHP 394 11.5% 16.7% 8.3% 40
7 Adolis Garcia Adolis Garcia 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.123 92.1 7.2% 12.5% vs RHP 399 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 24
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.110 87.7 2.8% 8.3% vs RHP 382 4.4% 0.0% 8.7% 25
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler RHP
1.07 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.10 ·
6 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.221 89.7 8.8% 29.4% vs RHP 397 18.8% 33.3% 31.4% 27
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.191 92.4 10.6% 28.6% vs RHP 405 14.9% 23.1% 25.3% 29
3 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 64 0.178 91.5 9.5% 20.6% vs RHP 399 10.6% 11.1% 13.6% 23
4 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.151 85.6 4.8% 9.5% vs RHP 374 11.1% 23.1% 12.6% 45
5 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 34 ⚪ D · · 174 0.134 85.9 5.2% 16.1% vs RHP 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 31
6 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.089 86.3 3.1% 6.2% vs RHP 374 2.1% 10.0% 8.2% 37
🏟️
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