STL
@
7:10p
NYM
Stadium Conditions
Citi Field
First pitch 7:10p
· roof open
Park 0.99×
Wind 9 mph slight_out
68°F
open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09
68°F, wind 9 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 18 | 0.244 | 92.9 | 10.4% | 29.4% vs RHP | 402 | 20.4% | 27.3% | 29.5% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jared Young | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.190 | 91.9 | 10.8% | 27.3% vs RHP | 404 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Mj Melendez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 101 | 0.198 | 93.5 | 9.0% | 11.5% vs RHP | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 112 | 0.138 | 90.4 | 8.1% | 13.5% vs RHP | 401 | 8.2% | 27.3% | 13.9% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Marcus Semien | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 113 | 0.136 | 86.4 | 7.5% | 15.6% vs RHP | 390 | 11.3% | 36.4% | 12.4% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 186 | 0.097 | 91.2 | 7.0% | 2.4% vs RHP | 389 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 192 | 0.099 | 89.2 | 7.0% | 10.3% vs RHP | 415 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 24 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.263 | 94.5 | 9.1% | 33.3% vs RHP | 406 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 103 | 0.166 | 91.4 | 7.6% | 17.1% vs RHP | 405 | 13.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.126 | 89.2 | 7.4% | 15.0% vs RHP | 404 | 8.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 140 | 0.144 | 86.1 | 7.5% | 25.0% vs RHP | 387 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 159 | 0.157 | 89.5 | 6.3% | 16.7% vs RHP | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.145 | 90.8 | 6.7% | 17.5% vs RHP | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 204 | 0.085 | 86.9 | 4.3% | 11.8% vs RHP | 379 | 3.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 25 |