2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
STL
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 14 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Citi Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof open
Park 0.99× Wind 9 mph slight_out 68°F open
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
7:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
8:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
9:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
10:10p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
4 mph · cross
68°F
11:10p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

68°F, wind 9 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Dustin May
Dustin May RHP
0.70 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.34 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 18 0.244 92.9 10.4% 29.4% vs RHP 402 20.4% 27.3% 29.5% 36
2 Jared Young Jared Young 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.190 91.9 10.8% 27.3% vs RHP 404 12.5% 16.7% 22.5% 22
3 Mj Melendez Mj Melendez 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.198 93.5 9.0% 11.5% vs RHP 379 0.0% 0.0% 19.4% 16
4 Carson Benge Carson Benge 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 112 0.138 90.4 8.1% 13.5% vs RHP 401 8.2% 27.3% 13.9% 33
5 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 113 0.136 86.4 7.5% 15.6% vs RHP 390 11.3% 36.4% 12.4% 31
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 186 0.097 91.2 7.0% 2.4% vs RHP 389 6.5% 0.0% 5.7% 34
7 Brett Baty Brett Baty 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 192 0.099 89.2 7.0% 10.3% vs RHP 415 4.9% 0.0% 7.5% 24
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta RHP
1.14 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.18 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.263 94.5 9.1% 33.3% vs RHP 406 19.6% 9.1% 15.6% 33
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 46 ⚪ D · · 103 0.166 91.4 7.6% 17.1% vs RHP 405 13.1% 9.1% 11.7% 37
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 137 0.126 89.2 7.4% 15.0% vs RHP 404 8.9% 14.3% 15.2% 12
4 Nathan Church Nathan Church 40 ⚪ D · · 140 0.144 86.1 7.5% 25.0% vs RHP 387 8.8% 0.0% 12.1% 0
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 37 ⚪ D · · 159 0.157 89.5 6.3% 16.7% vs RHP 404 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 35
6 Jj Wetherholt Jj Wetherholt 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.145 90.8 6.7% 17.5% vs RHP 394 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 28
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 204 0.085 86.9 4.3% 11.8% vs RHP 379 3.4% 10.0% 6.5% 25
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