SEA
@
6:35p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 6:35p
· roof open
Park 1.11×
Wind 1 mph slight_out
73°F
open
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
6:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
7:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
8:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
9:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
10:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11
73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Colton Cowser | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 13 | 0.182 | 86.2 | 11.5% | 24.0% vs RHP | 418 | 19.2% | 42.9% | 26.8% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 17 | 0.202 | 94.9 | 11.5% | 22.7% vs RHP | 395 | 16.9% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.179 | 91.7 | 10.5% | 13.0% vs RHP | 406 | 14.8% | 33.3% | 20.4% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 36 | 0.204 | 89.2 | 10.0% | 15.9% vs RHP | 390 | 19.0% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Holliday | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.184 | 89.0 | 11.1% | 18.2% vs RHP | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.0% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Ward | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.103 | 89.6 | 7.4% | 5.7% vs RHP | 386 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Leody Taveras | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 151 | 0.123 | 86.6 | 7.1% | 13.6% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler O'Neill | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.071 | 87.3 | 6.6% | 11.8% vs RHP | 397 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 9 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Julio Rodríguez ⚡ | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.202 | 90.4 | 8.1% | 38.1% vs LHP | 410 | 21.3% | 30.0% | 31.8% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Patrick Wisdom | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 59 | 0.143 | 92.6 | 12.6% | 14.3% | 429 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.5% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Rob Refsnyder | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 60 | 0.104 | 86.8 | 7.9% | 20.0% vs LHP | 388 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 17.2% | 11 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.162 | 91.5 | 7.3% | 20.0% vs LHP | 389 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.105 | 87.6 | 6.1% | 12.5% vs LHP | 391 | 10.9% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 123 | 0.126 | 87.6 | 6.2% | 18.8% vs LHP | 393 | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Mitch Garver | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 131 | 0.132 | 90.6 | 6.5% | 0.0% vs LHP | 388 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 11 |