2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
SEA
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Camden Yards

First pitch 6:35p · roof open
Park 1.11× Wind 1 mph slight_out 73°F open
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
6:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
7:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
8:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
9:35p
Neutral for HR environment
+2
5 mph · cross
73°F
10:35p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.11

73°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Logan Gilbert
Logan Gilbert RHP
1.60 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.67 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 67 🔵 C+ · · 13 0.182 86.2 11.5% 24.0% vs RHP 418 19.2% 42.9% 26.8% 30
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 65 🔵 C+ · · 17 0.202 94.9 11.5% 22.7% vs RHP 395 16.9% 16.7% 23.4% 40
3 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.179 91.7 10.5% 13.0% vs RHP 406 14.8% 33.3% 20.4% 23
4 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 60 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 36 0.204 89.2 10.0% 15.9% vs RHP 390 19.0% 8.3% 16.2% 43
5 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 56 🟠 C · · 50 0.184 89.0 11.1% 18.2% vs RHP 372 0.0% 0.0% 15.0% 26
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.103 89.6 7.4% 5.7% vs RHP 386 4.5% 8.3% 7.9% 35
7 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 151 0.123 86.6 7.1% 13.6% vs RHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 35
8 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 169 0.071 87.3 6.6% 11.8% vs RHP 397 9.1% 0.0% 8.7% 9
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP
1.33 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.08 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.202 90.4 8.1% 38.1% vs LHP 410 21.3% 30.0% 31.8% 41
2 Patrick Wisdom Patrick Wisdom 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.143 92.6 12.6% 14.3% 429 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 11
3 Rob Refsnyder Rob Refsnyder 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.104 86.8 7.9% 20.0% vs LHP 388 50.0% 50.0% 17.2% 11
4 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 48 ⚪ D · · 90 0.162 91.5 7.3% 20.0% vs LHP 389 8.1% 0.0% 12.6% 40
5 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 121 0.105 87.6 6.1% 12.5% vs LHP 391 10.9% 20.0% 9.3% 41
6 Cole Young Cole Young 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 123 0.126 87.6 6.2% 18.8% vs LHP 393 6.5% 10.0% 10.1% 44
7 Mitch Garver Mitch Garver 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 131 0.132 90.6 6.5% 0.0% vs LHP 388 5.6% 0.0% 7.4% 11
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