2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
WSH
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Oracle Park

First pitch 9:45p · roof open
Park 0.87× Wind 15 mph slight_out 62°F open
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
9:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
10:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
11:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
12:45a
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
1:45a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04

62°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser RHP
1.48 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.62 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 72 🟡 B +460 🌧️ COOL 8 0.251 96.0 14.8% 34.2% vs RHP 408 27.1% 25.0% 29.9% 26
2 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 51 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 72 0.238 90.1 9.9% 28.6% vs RHP 390 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 33
3 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 43 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 124 0.163 87.9 8.3% 13.2% vs RHP 403 10.6% 8.3% 9.3% 40
4 Jacob Young Jacob Young 41 ⚪ D · · 138 0.151 88.9 7.3% 25.0% vs RHP 391 11.6% 9.1% 9.8% 23
5 Jose Tena Jose Tena 38 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 157 0.138 92.3 9.4% 16.7% vs RHP 398 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 15
6 Drew Millas Drew Millas 35 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 168 0.089 82.0 5.9% 16.7% vs RHP 398 7.1% 33.3% 13.3% 11
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 26 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 211 0.091 83.3 5.1% 4.5% vs RHP 364 2.9% 0.0% 6.5% 19
8 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 10 ⚪ D · · 231 0.021 84.7 · 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 20
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez LHP
0.90 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.60 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 58 🟠 C +700 · 41 0.253 89.6 11.1% 16.7% vs LHP 393 19.7% 23.1% 22.8% 52
2 Willy Adames Willy Adames 50 🟠 C +510 🌤️ WARM 76 0.207 89.2 9.4% 10.0% vs LHP 385 14.5% 30.8% 18.9% 37
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 42 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 128 0.177 91.9 9.7% 12.5% vs LHP 400 11.8% 7.7% 10.0% 33
4 Bryce Eldridge Bryce Eldridge 39 ⚪ D +525 🌤️ WARM 150 0.159 92.4 9.2% 8.7% 409 9.1% 12.5% 8.5% 37
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 33 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 179 0.138 88.0 7.0% 12.5% vs LHP 389 4.8% 15.4% 12.1% 39
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.133 87.8 4.8% 8.3% vs LHP 363 5.5% 0.0% 7.0% 44
7 Daniel Susac Daniel Susac 21 ⚪ D +800 ❄ COLD 219 0.077 88.0 7.0% 0.0% 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 21
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