WSH
@
9:45p
SF
Stadium Conditions
Oracle Park
First pitch 9:45p
· roof open
Park 0.87×
Wind 15 mph slight_out
62°F
open
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
9:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
10:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
11:45p
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
12:45a
Boost for HR environment
+5
15 mph · slight_out
64°F
1:45a
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.04
62°F, wind 15 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 72 | 🟡 B | +460 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.251 | 96.0 | 14.8% | 34.2% vs RHP | 408 | 27.1% | 25.0% | 29.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 51 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.238 | 90.1 | 9.9% | 28.6% vs RHP | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Daylen Lile | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 124 | 0.163 | 87.9 | 8.3% | 13.2% vs RHP | 403 | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Jacob Young | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 138 | 0.151 | 88.9 | 7.3% | 25.0% vs RHP | 391 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Tena | 38 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.138 | 92.3 | 9.4% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Drew Millas | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.089 | 82.0 | 5.9% | 16.7% vs RHP | 398 | 7.1% | 33.3% | 13.3% | 11 |
| 7 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 211 | 0.091 | 83.3 | 5.1% | 4.5% vs RHP | 364 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 231 | 0.021 | 84.7 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 20 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 58 | 🟠 C | +700 | · | 41 | 0.253 | 89.6 | 11.1% | 16.7% vs LHP | 393 | 19.7% | 23.1% | 22.8% | 52 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 50 | 🟠 C | +510 | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.207 | 89.2 | 9.4% | 10.0% vs LHP | 385 | 14.5% | 30.8% | 18.9% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 42 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.177 | 91.9 | 9.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 400 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Bryce Eldridge | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 150 | 0.159 | 92.4 | 9.2% | 8.7% | 409 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman | 33 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 179 | 0.138 | 88.0 | 7.0% | 12.5% vs LHP | 389 | 4.8% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.133 | 87.8 | 4.8% | 8.3% vs LHP | 363 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Daniel Susac | 21 | ⚪ D | +800 | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.077 | 88.0 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 21 |