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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-03

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243 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-03
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
#12 Moisés Ballesteros vs Merrill Kelly FIP 8.78 HR/FB 42.9%
📦 STACK Spencer Strider FIP 3.82 → #1 Hunter Goodman, #7 Mickey Moniak
📦 STACK Max Fried FIP 2.72 HR/FB 4.5% → #2 Coby Mayo, #4 Pete Alonso, #5 Samuel Basallo, #8 Gunnar Henderson, #11 Dylan Beavers, #14 Taylor Ward
📦 STACK Kyle Freeland FIP 4.04 HR/FB 14.3% → #3 Matt Olson, #6 Michael Harris II, #13 Drake Baldwin
📦 STACK Parker Messick FIP 2.29 HR/FB 10.0% → #9 Shea Langeliers, #10 Carlos Cortes
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 63 · Spencer Strider (RHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2
·Matt Olson (L) 4
62 · Kyle Freeland (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
3 59 · Spencer Strider (RHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Mickey Moniak — Home Run
OffSpencer Strider Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle31.0° Distance438 ft StadiumCoors Field
4 58 · Tyler Mahle (RHP)
SF @ TB · Tropicana Field
1:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.3×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB11.9% HR/90.70 FIP3.62 IP90.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5 58 · Chris Paddack (RHP)
PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park
1:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB9.6% HR/90.75 FIP3.88 IP96.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
6 56 · Parker Messick (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
7 56 · Griffin Canning (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
4:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-4 Note61°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -4
8 55 · Kyle Freeland (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9 55 · Matthew Boyd (LHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.3°F Wind16.1 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 16 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -1
10
·Mike Trout (R) 2
55 · Clay Holmes (RHP)
NYM @ LAA · Angel Stadium
4:07p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB13.2% HR/90.83 FIP3.56 IP97.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.1°F Wind3 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 3 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
11 54 · Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)
CIN @ PIT · PNC Park
1:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB15.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.29 IP119.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp47.5°F Wind8.0 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Note48°F, wind 8 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +0
12 52 · Max Fried (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.3°F Wind16.1 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-7 Note49°F, wind 16 mph NW (in) — modifier: -7
13
·Josh Jung (R) 4
52 · Tyler Holton (LHP)
TEX @ DET · Comerica Park
7:20p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB17.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.41 IP96.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.8°F Wind13.8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note51°F, wind 14 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +2
14
·Drake Baldwin (L) 3
51 · Kyle Freeland (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
15
·Ozzie Albies (S) 3
51 · Kyle Freeland (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
3:10p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind9.2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note55°F, wind 9 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
16
·Gary Sánchez (R) 2
51 · Zack Littell (RHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
1:35p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB20.7% HR/91.53 FIP5.44 IP99.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.0°F Wind18.4 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note50°F, wind 18 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
17 51 · Kris Bubic (LHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
4:10p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.0×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB19.1% HR/91.34 FIP5.05 IP80.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp56.3°F Wind5.8 mph NE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 6 mph NE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
18 51 · Griffin Canning (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
4:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-4 Note61°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -4
19
·Coby Mayo (R)
50 · Max Fried (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.3°F Wind16.1 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-7 Note49°F, wind 16 mph NW (in) — modifier: -7
20
·Carlos Cortes (L) 3
50 · Parker Messick (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
21
·Liam Hicks (L) 3
50 · Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park
1:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
12
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
PHI Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/90.87 FIP3.73 IP93.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
22 50 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ DET · Comerica Park
7:20p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
5.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.8°F Wind13.8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note51°F, wind 14 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +2
23 50 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ DET · Comerica Park
7:20p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
4.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp50.8°F Wind13.8 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier2 Note51°F, wind 14 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +2
Spencer Torkelson — Home Run
OffJack Leiter Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance388 ft StadiumComerica Park
24 49 · Max Fried (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.3°F Wind16.1 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-7 Note49°F, wind 16 mph NW (in) — modifier: -7
25
·Jordan Walker (R) 2
49 · Justin Wrobleski (LHP)
LAD @ STL · Busch Stadium
2:15p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.83 FIP3.35 IP75.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp54.2°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2
26 49 · Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.8×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB18.8% HR/91.27 FIP4.21 IP85.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.3°F Wind16.1 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 16 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -1
27 49 · Aaron Civale (RHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
28
·Miguel Vargas (R) 2
49 · Griffin Canning (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
4:10p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.3°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-4 Note61°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -4
29 48 · Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB18.8% HR/91.27 FIP4.21 IP85.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.3°F Wind16.1 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 16 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -1
Moisés Ballesteros — Home Run
OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo101.0 mph Angle29.0° Distance389 ft StadiumWrigley Field
30
·Ian Happ (S) 4
48 · Merrill Kelly (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB18.8% HR/91.27 FIP4.21 IP85.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.3°F Wind16.1 mph SW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 16 mph SW (cross) — modifier: -1
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238 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

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